Examining social vulnerability to multi-hazards in North-Western Himalayas, India.

Abstract

The enhancing risk from human action and multi-hazard interaction has substantially complicated the hazard-society relationship. The underlying vulnerabilities are crucial in predicting the probable impact to be caused by multi-hazards. Thus, the evaluation of social vulnerability is decisive in inferring the driving factor and preparing for mitigation strategies. The Himalayan landscape is prone to multiple hazards as well as possesses a multitude of vulnerabilities owing to changing human landscape. Thus, an attempt has been made to inquire into the underlying socioeconomic factors enhancing the susceptibility of the region to multi-hazards. The social vulnerability index (SVI_ent) has been introduced, consisting of 13 indicators and 33 variables. The variables have been standardized using the maximum and minimum normalization method and the relative importance for each indicator has been determined using Shannon entropy methods to compute SVI_ent. The findings revealed that female population, population above 60 years old, net irrigated area, migrant population, dilapidated house, nonworkers, bank, and nonworkers seeking jobs were found to be relatively significant contributors to the vulnerability. The western part of the study area was classified as the highly vulnerable category (SVI > 0.40628), attributed to high dependence, and higher share of unemployed workers and high poverty. The SVI_ent was shown to have positive correlation between unemployment, socioeconomic status, migration, dependency, and household structure significant at two-tailed test. The study's impact can be found in influencing the decision of policymakers and stakeholders in framing the mitigation strategies and policy documents.