Access to credit and firm survival during a crisis: the case of zero-bank-debt firms

Roberto Blanco, Miguel García-Posada, Sergio Mayordomo, María Rodríguez-Moreno
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Abstract

We study the access to credit and the propensity to exit the market of firms with no bank debt (the main funding source of Spanish non-listed firms) around the COVID-19 crisis. Our methodology allows us to disentangle credit supply from credit demand, as having no bank debt may be the result of financial constraints or a deliberate strategy. Before the COVID-19 crisis, zero-bank-debt firms, especially risky ones, faced more difficult access to bank loans than firms that had previously held bank debt owing to their lack of credit history. These credit constraints were tightened by the COVID shock, regardless of firms’ risk, arguably because of increased information asymmetries during a period of high macroeconomic uncertainty. Zero-bank-debt firms, even those with a low probability of default, were much more likely to leave the market during the COVID-19 crisis than firms with a history of bank debt. Moreover, granting new credit to zero-bank-debt firms reduced their probability of exit, which suggests a causal relationship between the two aforementioned findings. Beyond the specific setting of the pandemic, this paper adds to the broader literature on a better understanding of supply and demand-side constraints for corporate external funding, as crystalised in zero-debt firms.
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危机期间获得信贷与企业生存:零银行债务企业的案例
我们研究了在 COVID-19 危机前后没有银行债务(西班牙非上市公司的主要资金来源)的公司获得信贷的情况以及退出市场的倾向。我们的研究方法使我们能够将信贷供应与信贷需求区分开来,因为没有银行债务可能是财务限制的结果,也可能是一种深思熟虑的策略。在 COVID-19 危机之前,零银行负债企业,尤其是高风险企业,由于缺乏信用记录,比之前持有银行负债的企业更难获得银行贷款。无论企业的风险如何,这些信贷限制都因 COVID 冲击而收紧,这可能是由于在宏观经济高度不确定时期信息不对称加剧的缘故。在 COVID-19 危机期间,零银行债务企业,即使是违约概率较低的企业,也比有银行债务历史的企业更有可能退出市场。此外,向零银行债务企业发放新的信贷降低了它们退出市场的概率,这表明上述两个发现之间存在因果关系。除了大流行病这一特定背景外,本文还补充了更广泛的文献,有助于更好地理解企业外部资金的供需约束,这一点在零债务企业中体现得淋漓尽致。
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