Unveiling amplified isolation in climate networks due to global warming

Yifan Cheng, Panjie Qiao, Meiyi Hou, Yuan Chen, Wenqi Liu, Yongwen Zhang
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Abstract

Abstract. Our study utilizes a global reanalysis of near-surface daily air temperature data spanning the years from 1949 to 2019 to construct climate networks. By employing community detection for each year, we reveal the evolving community structure of the climate network within the context of global warming. Our findings indicate significant changes in measures such as network modularity and the number of communities over the past 30 years. Notably, the community structure of the climate network has undergone a discernible transition since the early 1980s. We attribute this transition to the substantial increase in isolated nodes since the 1980s, primarily concentrated in equatorial ocean regions. Additionally, we demonstrate that nodes experiencing amplified isolation tend to diminish connectivity with other nodes globally, particularly those within the same oceanic basin, while showing a significant strengthening of connections with the Eurasian and North African continents. We deduce that the mechanism driving amplified isolation in the climate network may be comprehended through the weakening of tropical circulations, such as the Hadley cell and Walker circulation, in response to increasing greenhouse gases.
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揭示全球变暖导致气候网络中的隔离现象加剧
摘要我们的研究利用全球近地面日气温再分析数据构建气候网络,时间跨度为 1949 年至 2019 年。通过对每一年进行群落检测,我们揭示了全球变暖背景下气候网络不断演变的群落结构。我们的研究结果表明,在过去 30 年中,网络模块化和群落数量等指标发生了重大变化。值得注意的是,自 20 世纪 80 年代初以来,气候网络的群落结构发生了明显的转变。我们将这一转变归因于自 20 世纪 80 年代以来孤立节点的大幅增加,这些节点主要集中在赤道海洋区域。此外,我们还证明,经历了孤立性放大的节点往往会减少与全球其他节点的联系,尤其是与同一大洋盆地内节点的联系,而与欧亚大陆和北非大陆的联系则显著加强。我们推断,随着温室气体的增加,热带环流(如哈德利环流和沃克环流)的减弱可能会导致气候网络中的孤立性扩大。
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