Robots at work: New evidence with recent data

IF 0.7 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Manchester School Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI:10.1111/manc.12493
Derick Almeida, Tiago Neves Sequeira
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Abstract

We reassess the relationship between robotization and the growth in labor productivity with more recent data. We discover that the effect of robot density in the growth productivity substantially decreased in the post-2008 period. In this period, the lower positive effect of robot density in the growth of labor productivity is less dependent on the increase in value added. The data analysis dismisses any positive effect of robotization on hours worked. Results are confirmed by several robustness checks, cross-sectional (and panel-data) Instrumental Variable and quantile regression analysis. By means of the quantile regression analysis, we learn that the effect of robots on labor productivity is stronger for low productivity sectors and that in the most recent period, the effect of robotization felt significantly throughout the distribution. This highlights one of the possible sources of stagnation in the era of robotization and have implication both for labor market and R&D policies.

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工作中的机器人最新数据提供的新证据
我们利用最新数据重新评估了机器人化与劳动生产率增长之间的关系。我们发现,机器人密度对生产率增长的影响在 2008 年后大幅下降。在这一时期,机器人密度对劳动生产率增长的正效应降低,对附加值增长的依赖性降低。数据分析否定了机器人化对工作时间的积极影响。一些稳健性检验、横截面(和面板数据)工具变量和量位回归分析证实了这一结果。通过量子回归分析,我们了解到机器人对低生产率部门劳动生产率的影响更大,而且在最近一段时期,机器人化的影响在整个分布中都很明显。这凸显了机器人时代停滞不前的可能原因之一,对劳动力市场和研发政策都有影响。
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来源期刊
Manchester School
Manchester School ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
9.10%
发文量
37
期刊介绍: The Manchester School was first published more than seventy years ago and has become a distinguished, internationally recognised, general economics journal. The Manchester School publishes high-quality research covering all areas of the economics discipline, although the editors particularly encourage original contributions, or authoritative surveys, in the fields of microeconomics (including industrial organisation and game theory), macroeconomics, econometrics (both theory and applied) and labour economics.
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