PV ENERGY FORECASTING USING DEEP LEARNING ALGORITHM

Rajnish, Sumit Saroha, Manish Saini
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Abstract

Solar energy has vast potential in India which is a rapidly growing economy with diverse geographical features. Solar energy has intermittent behaviour and depends on geographical and weather conditions. Therefore, the reliability of the solar depends on the seamless operation of solar plants with the latest technologies. The main objective of  power operator is to facilitate the renewable power sources intergeration for maintaining an uninterrupted power supply. To achieve this objective, researchers have employed various Deep Learning methods of machine learning, such as RNN, LSTM, CNN and SVM for accurate solar power forecasting with higher relibaility. In this paper, a GA-CNN  deep learning algorithm is employed with an optimized hyperparameters technique for PV energy forecasting. This technique outperforms when compared with the other methods such as LSTM, KNN-SVM, and CNN-RNN techniques in terms of RMSE, MAE, MSE and R-Square performance indices. This method provides a better and more robust method of deep learning for solar PV energy forecasting.
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利用深度学习算法进行光伏能源预测
印度经济发展迅速,地理特征多样,太阳能在印度具有巨大的潜力。太阳能具有间歇性,取决于地理和天气条件。因此,太阳能的可靠性取决于采用最新技术的太阳能发电厂的无缝运行。电力运营商的主要目标是促进可再生能源的相互结合,以维持不间断的电力供应。为了实现这一目标,研究人员采用了各种深度学习的机器学习方法,如 RNN、LSTM、CNN 和 SVM,以实现更高可靠性的准确太阳能功率预测。本文采用 GA-CNN 深度学习算法和优化超参数技术来预测光伏发电量。与其他方法(如 LSTM、KNN-SVM 和 CNN-RNN 技术)相比,该技术在 RMSE、MAE、MSE 和 R 平方性能指标方面表现更优。该方法为太阳能光伏能源预测提供了一种更好、更稳健的深度学习方法。
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