Predicting Abrocitinib Efficacy at Week 12 Based on Clinical Response at Week 4: A Post Hoc Analysis of Four Randomized Studies in Moderate-to-Severe Atopic Dermatitis.
April W Armstrong, Andrew F Alexis, Andrew Blauvelt, Jonathan I Silverberg, Claire Feeney, Mark Levenberg, Gary Chan, Fan Zhang, Luke Fostvedt
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Introduction: Early prediction of abrocitinib efficacy in atopic dermatitis (AD) could help identify candidates for an early dose increase. A predictive model determined week 12 efficacy based on week 4 responses in patients receiving abrocitinib 100 mg/day and assessed the effect of an abrocitinib dose increase on platelet counts.
Methods: Analysis included the phase 3 trials JADE MONO-1 (NCT03349060), MONO-2 (NCT03575871), COMPARE (NCT03720470), and TEEN (NCT03796676). For platelet counts and simulations, a phase 2 psoriasis trial (NCT02201524) and phase 2b (NCT02780167) and phase 3 (MONO-1, MONO-2, and REGIMEN (NCT03627767)) abrocitinib trials were pooled. A training-and-validation framework assessed potential predictors of response at week 4: score and score change from baseline in the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI), Investigator's Global Assessment (IGA), and Peak Pruritus Numerical Rating Scale (PP-NRS), and percentage change from baseline in EASI. The dependent variables at week 12 were ≥ 75% improvement in EASI (EASI-75) and IGA score of 0 (clear) or 1 (almost clear) and ≥ 2-point improvement from baseline. The probability of each variable to predict week 12 EASI-75 and IGA responses was calculated.
Results: In the training cohort (n = 453), 72% of the ≥ 50% improvement in EASI (EASI-50) at week 4 responders and 16% of the nonresponders with abrocitinib 100 mg achieved EASI-75 at week 12; 48% and 6% of the week 4 EASI-50 responders and nonresponders, respectively, achieved week 12 IGA response. Similar results occurred with week 4 IGA = 2, ≥ 4-point improvement from baseline in PP-NRS, or EASI = 8 responders/nonresponders. Platelet counts after an abrocitinib dose increase from 100 to 200 mg were similar to those seen with continuous dosing with abrocitinib 100 mg or 200 mg.
Conclusion: Achieving week 4 clinical responses with abrocitinib 100 mg may be useful in predicting week 12 responses. Week 4 nonresponders may benefit from a dose increase to abrocitinib 200 mg, and those that receive this dose increase are likely to achieve treatment success at week 12, with no significant impact on platelet count recovery. Video abstract available for this article.
期刊介绍：
Dermatology and Therapy is an international, open access, peer-reviewed, rapid publication journal (peer review in 2 weeks, published 3–4 weeks from acceptance). The journal is dedicated to the publication of high-quality clinical (all phases), observational, real-world, and health outcomes research around the discovery, development, and use of dermatological therapies. Studies relating to diagnosis, pharmacoeconomics, public health and epidemiology, quality of life, and patient care, management, and education are also encouraged.
Areas of focus include, but are not limited to all clinical aspects of dermatology, such as skin pharmacology; skin development and aging; prevention, diagnosis, and management of skin disorders and melanomas; research into dermal structures and pathology; and all areas of aesthetic dermatology, including skin maintenance, dermatological surgery, and lasers.
The journal is of interest to a broad audience of pharmaceutical and healthcare professionals and publishes original research, reviews, case reports/case series, trial protocols, and short communications. Dermatology and Therapy will consider all scientifically sound research be it positive, confirmatory or negative data. Submissions are welcomed whether they relate to an International and/or a country-specific audience, something that is crucially important when researchers are trying to target more specific patient populations. This inclusive approach allows the journal to assist in the dissemination of quality research, which may be considered of insufficient interest by other journals. The journal appeals to a global audience and receives submissions from all over the world.
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