Jianglei Yuan , Dehong Liu , Carl R. Chen , Sen Hu
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Abstract
This paper examines a novel pattern of option return predictability. Specifically, we find option trading volume negatively and significantly predicts the cross-section of delta-hedged option returns. Our portfolio strategies of option trading volume yield significant returns in options across different moneyness and time to maturity. Furthermore, the evidence shows that market capitalization and idiosyncratic volatility are able to explain the predictability of option trading volume on option returns. Our results are robust to alternative measures of option returns and option subsamples.
期刊介绍：
The focus of the North-American Journal of Economics and Finance is on the economics of integration of goods, services, financial markets, at both regional and global levels with the role of economic policy in that process playing an important role. Both theoretical and empirical papers are welcome. Empirical and policy-related papers that rely on data and the experiences of countries outside North America are also welcome. Papers should offer concrete lessons about the ongoing process of globalization, or policy implications about how governments, domestic or international institutions, can improve the coordination of their activities. Empirical analysis should be capable of replication. Authors of accepted papers will be encouraged to supply data and computer programs.
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