On Bayesian estimation of stress–strength reliability in multicomponent system for two-parameter gamma distribution

IF 1.6 Q2 ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI:10.1007/s13198-024-02379-8
V. K. Rathaur, N. Chandra, Parmeet Kumar Vinit
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Abstract

This paper deals with multicomponent stress–strength system reliability (MSR) and its maximum likelihood (ML) as well as Bayesian estimation. We assume that \({X}_{1},{X}_{2},\dots ,{X}_{k}\) being the random strengths of k- components of a system and Y is the applied common random stress on them, which independently follows gamma distribution with parameters \(\left({\alpha }_{1},{\lambda }_{1}\right)\) and \(\left({\alpha }_{2},{\lambda }_{2}\right)\) respectively. The system works only if \(s\left(1\le s\le k\right)\) or more of the strengths exceed the common load/stress is called s-out-of-k: G system. Maximum likelihood and asymptotic interval estimators of MSR are obtained. Bayes estimates are computed under symmetric and asymmetric loss functions assuming informative and non-informative priors. ML and Bayes estimators are numerically evaluated and compared based on mean square errors and absolute biases through simulation study employing the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm.

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论双参数伽马分布的多组分系统应力强度可靠性贝叶斯估算
本文讨论多组件应力强度系统可靠性(MSR)及其最大似然法(ML)和贝叶斯估计法。我们假设\({X}_{1},{X}_{2},\dots ,{X}_{k}\) 是系统中 k 个元件的随机强度,Y 是它们所受的共同随机应力、它们独立地服从参数为 \(\left({\α }_{1},{\lambda }_{1}\right)\) 和 \(\left({\α }_{2},{\lambda }_{2}\right)\) 的伽马分布。只有当\(s\left(1\le s\le k\right)\) 或更多的强度超过共同负载/应力时,系统才会工作,这就是所谓的s-out-of-k:G系统。得到了 MSR 的最大似然估计值和渐近区间估计值。贝叶斯估计值是在对称和非对称损失函数下计算得出的,并假设了信息和非信息先验。通过使用 Metropolis-Hastings 算法进行模拟研究,根据均方误差和绝对偏差对最大似然估计和贝叶斯估计进行了数值评估和比较。
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期刊介绍: This Journal is established with a view to cater to increased awareness for high quality research in the seamless integration of heterogeneous technologies to formulate bankable solutions to the emergent complex engineering problems. Assurance engineering could be thought of as relating to the provision of higher confidence in the reliable and secure implementation of a system’s critical characteristic features through the espousal of a holistic approach by using a wide variety of cross disciplinary tools and techniques. Successful realization of sustainable and dependable products, systems and services involves an extensive adoption of Reliability, Quality, Safety and Risk related procedures for achieving high assurancelevels of performance; also pivotal are the management issues related to risk and uncertainty that govern the practical constraints encountered in their deployment. It is our intention to provide a platform for the modeling and analysis of large engineering systems, among the other aforementioned allied goals of systems assurance engineering, leading to the enforcement of performance enhancement measures. Achieving a fine balance between theory and practice is the primary focus. The Journal only publishes high quality papers that have passed the rigorous peer review procedure of an archival scientific Journal. The aim is an increasing number of submissions, wide circulation and a high impact factor.
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