Risk to reoffend changes over time: Improving correctional programming through progress monitoring.

IF 3.3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, CLINICAL Psychological Assessment Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-08 DOI:10.1037/pas0001335
Kelly M Babchishin, R Karl Hanson, Seung C Lee
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Abstract

Progress monitoring is integral to evidence-based practice. Correctional settings, especially the supervision of individuals who commit sexual offenses, elicit public concern; negative outcomes can be catastrophic. Using a prospective longitudinal study of 2,939 men with a history of sexual offenses undergoing community supervision, we examined different models of progress monitoring and how they should inform the assessment of risk for sexual recidivism. We found that the most recent assessment scores of the ACUTE-2007 and STABLE-2007 sexual recidivism risk tools provided the best information about reoffending risk compared to using (a) the worst period of adjustments (i.e., highest risk score), (b) the best period of adjustments (i.e., lowest risk score), or (c) a rolling average of scores. We also found that the latest STABLE-2007 scores incrementally predicted sexual recidivism beyond baseline risk as assessed by demographic and criminal history variables (Static-99R). We conclude that the risk for sexual recidivism changes over time and that community corrections is advanced by repeated assessment of dynamic (changeable) risk factors. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

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重新犯罪的风险会随着时间的推移而变化:通过进度监测改进教养计划。
进展监测是循证实践不可或缺的一部分。矫正环境,尤其是对性犯罪人员的监管,引起了公众的关注;负面结果可能是灾难性的。通过对 2939 名接受社区监管的有性犯罪史的男性进行前瞻性纵向研究,我们考察了不同的进展监测模式,以及这些模式应如何为性犯罪再犯风险评估提供信息。我们发现,与使用(a)最差调整期(即最高风险分值)、(b)最佳调整期(即最低风险分值)或(c)滚动平均分值相比,ACUTE-2007 和 STABLE-2007 性再犯风险工具的最新评估分值提供了有关再犯风险的最佳信息。我们还发现,STABLE-2007 的最新分值对性累犯的预测超出了人口统计学和犯罪史变量(Static-99R)所评估的基线风险。我们的结论是,性犯罪累犯的风险会随着时间的推移而变化,通过反复评估动态(可变化的)风险因素,可以推进社区矫正工作。(PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA,保留所有权利)。
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来源期刊
Psychological Assessment
Psychological Assessment PSYCHOLOGY, CLINICAL-
CiteScore
5.70
自引率
5.60%
发文量
167
期刊介绍: Psychological Assessment is concerned mainly with empirical research on measurement and evaluation relevant to the broad field of clinical psychology. Submissions are welcome in the areas of assessment processes and methods. Included are - clinical judgment and the application of decision-making models - paradigms derived from basic psychological research in cognition, personality–social psychology, and biological psychology - development, validation, and application of assessment instruments, observational methods, and interviews
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