Assessing the impact of safe consumption sites on neighborhood crime in New York City: a synthetic control approach

IF 1.8 2区 社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Journal of Experimental Criminology Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI:10.1007/s11292-024-09630-z
John J. Hall, Jerry H. Ratcliffe
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Abstract

Objectives

The study analyzes the impact of supervised consumption sites (SCSs) on local crime in New York City (NYC), examining both violent and property crimes.

Methods

We use a count-based synthetic control approach to compare police administrative crime data before and after SCS establishment in two NYC neighborhoods. This quasi-experimental design was used to infer the causal effects of SCSs on neighborhood crime, using an evaluation framework across a range of local spatial bandwidths.

Results

We found a significant 167% increase in property crimes within 1000 feet of the Washington Heights SCS after it opened as an SCS. We did not see changes in violence or property crimes near the East Harlem site. These findings suggest a differential impact of SCSs on neighborhood crime, possibly moderated by local factors.

Conclusion

This research contributes to our understanding of how SCSs impact neighborhoods, suggesting that their effect on neighborhood crime is not uniform and may be dependent on local context. It underscores the need for further research to understand the interaction between public health interventions and local crime trends.

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评估安全消费场所对纽约市社区犯罪的影响:合成控制方法
目标本研究分析了监督消费场所(SCS)对纽约市(NYC)当地犯罪的影响,包括暴力犯罪和财产犯罪。方法我们采用基于计数的合成控制方法,比较了纽约市两个社区在监督消费场所设立前后的警方行政犯罪数据。结果我们发现,在华盛顿高地的 SCS 启用后,其 1000 英尺范围内的财产犯罪率大幅上升了 167%。在东哈莱姆区附近,我们没有发现暴力或财产犯罪的变化。这些研究结果表明,"沙中线 "对邻里犯罪的影响各不相同,可能受到当地因素的影响。它强调了进一步研究的必要性,以了解公共卫生干预措施与当地犯罪趋势之间的相互作用。
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来源期刊
Journal of Experimental Criminology
Journal of Experimental Criminology CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
6.20
自引率
6.70%
发文量
49
期刊介绍: The Journal of Experimental Criminology focuses on high quality experimental and quasi-experimental research in the advancement of criminological theory and/or the development of evidence based crime and justice policy. The journal is also committed to the advancement of the science of systematic reviews and experimental methods in criminology and criminal justice. The journal seeks empirical papers on experimental and quasi-experimental studies, systematic reviews on substantive criminological and criminal justice issues, and methodological papers on experimentation and systematic review. The journal encourages submissions from scholars in the broad array of scientific disciplines that are concerned with criminology as well as crime and justice problems.
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