Economic Development, Energy Consumption, and Environmental Deterioration: A Non-Linear Evidence from India

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI:10.1007/s40953-024-00405-x
Arup Roy, Ranjan DasGupta
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Abstract

This study examines whether hydropower consumption, fossil fuel consumption, and economic growth had symmetric or asymmetric impacts on India’s environmental deterioration, i.e., ecological footprint. We have employed a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model on the yearly observations from 1980 to 2020 in the Indian context. Knowledge of these linkages is extremely important in creating renewable energy policies and accomplishing targets, as India chose an ambitious goal of 500 GW of renewable energy capacity (including 73 GW from hydro) by 2030. The findings reveal that although hydropower consumption and economic expansion contribute to reducing the ecological footprint, fossil fuel consumption accelerates environmental degradation. We find evidence of a long-run asymmetry relationship between hydropower consumption and ecological footprint. Our findings notify that stringent and effective regulatory policies should be formulated by Indian authorities to battle against environmental degradation by replacing fossil fuel and large hydropower with more energy-friendly renewable energy sources.

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经济发展、能源消耗与环境恶化:印度的非线性证据
本研究探讨了水电消耗、化石燃料消耗和经济增长对印度环境恶化(即生态足迹)的影响是对称的还是不对称的。我们采用非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)模型,对印度 1980 年至 2020 年的年度观测数据进行了分析。印度制定了到 2030 年可再生能源发电能力达到 500 千兆瓦(包括 73 千兆瓦水电)的宏伟目标,因此了解这些联系对于制定可再生能源政策和实现目标极为重要。研究结果表明,尽管水电消费和经济扩张有助于减少生态足迹,但化石燃料消费却加速了环境退化。我们发现了水电消费与生态足迹之间存在长期不对称关系的证据。我们的研究结果表明,印度当局应制定严格有效的监管政策,以更环保的可再生能源取代化石燃料和大型水电,从而与环境退化作斗争。
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期刊介绍: The Journal of Quantitative Economics (JQEC) is a refereed journal of the Indian Econometric Society (TIES). It solicits quantitative papers with basic or applied research orientation in all sub-fields of Economics that employ rigorous theoretical, empirical and experimental methods. The Journal also encourages Short Papers and Review Articles. Innovative and fundamental papers that focus on various facets of Economics of the Emerging Market and Developing Economies are particularly welcome. With the help of an international Editorial board and carefully selected referees, it aims to minimize the time taken to complete the review process while preserving the quality of the articles published.
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