How can green hydrogen from North Africa support EU decarbonization? Scenario analyses on competitive pathways for trade

IF 8.1 2区工程技术 Q1 CHEMISTRY, PHYSICAL International Journal of Hydrogen Energy Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI:10.1016/j.ijhydene.2024.06.395

Maria Cristina Pinto , Sofia G. Simões , Patricía Fortes

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Abstract

The carbon-neutrality target set by the European Union for 2050 drives the increasing relevance of green hydrogen as key player in the energy transition. This work uses the JRC-EU-TIMES energy system model to assess opportunities and challenges for green hydrogen trade from North Africa to Europe, analysing to what extent it can support its decarbonization. An important novelty is addressing uncertainty regarding hydrogen economy development. Alternative scenarios are built considering volumes available for import, production costs and transport options, affecting hydrogen cost-effectiveness. Both pipelines and ships are modelled assuming favourable market conditions and pessimistic ones. From 2040 on, all available North African hydrogen is imported regardless of its costs. In Europe this imported hydrogen is mainly converted into synfuels and heat. The study aims to support policymakers to implement effective strategies, focusing on the crucial role of green hydrogen in the decarbonization process, if new competitive cooperations are developed.

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来自北非的绿色氢气如何支持欧盟去碳化？贸易竞争路径情景分析

欧盟为 2050 年设定的碳中性目标促使绿色氢气在能源转型中发挥越来越重要的作用。这项研究利用 JRC-EU-TIMES 能源系统模型，评估了从北非到欧洲的绿色氢贸易所面临的机遇和挑战，分析了绿色氢在多大程度上能够支持欧洲的去碳化进程。一项重要的创新是解决氢经济发展的不确定性。考虑到可供进口的氢量、生产成本和运输方案，建立了影响氢成本效益的替代方案。假设市场条件有利和悲观，对管道和船舶进行建模。从 2040 年起，北非所有可用氢气都将进口，而不考虑其成本。在欧洲，这些进口氢主要被转化为合成燃料和热能。该研究旨在支持决策者实施有效的战略，重点关注绿色氢气在去碳化过程中的关键作用，如果能发展出新的竞争性合作关系的话。

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来源期刊

International Journal of Hydrogen Energy 工程技术-环境科学

CiteScore

13.50

自引率

25.00%

发文量

3502

审稿时长

60 days

期刊介绍： The objective of the International Journal of Hydrogen Energy is to facilitate the exchange of new ideas, technological advancements, and research findings in the field of Hydrogen Energy among scientists and engineers worldwide. This journal showcases original research, both analytical and experimental, covering various aspects of Hydrogen Energy. These include production, storage, transmission, utilization, enabling technologies, environmental impact, economic considerations, and global perspectives on hydrogen and its carriers such as NH3, CH4, alcohols, etc. The utilization aspect encompasses various methods such as thermochemical (combustion), photochemical, electrochemical (fuel cells), and nuclear conversion of hydrogen, hydrogen isotopes, and hydrogen carriers into thermal, mechanical, and electrical energies. The applications of these energies can be found in transportation (including aerospace), industrial, commercial, and residential sectors.