Measuring and mitigating biases in motor insurance pricing

IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE European Actuarial Journal Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI:10.1007/s13385-024-00390-8
Mulah Moriah, Franck Vermet, Arthur Charpentier
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Abstract

The non-life insurance sector operates within a highly competitive and tightly regulated framework, confronting a pivotal juncture in the formulation of pricing strategies. Insurers are compelled to harness a range of statistical methodologies and available data to construct optimal pricing structures that align with the overarching corporate strategy while accommodating the dynamics of market competition. Given the fundamental societal role played by insurance, premium rates are subject to rigorous scrutiny by regulatory authorities. Consequently, the act of pricing transcends mere statistical calculations and carries the weight of strategic and societal factors. These multifaceted concerns may drive insurers to establish equitable premiums, considering various variables. For instance, regulations mandate the provision of equitable premiums, considering factors such as policyholder gender. Or mutualist groups in accordance with respective corporate strategies can implement age-based premium fairness. In certain insurance domains, the presence of serious illnesses or disabilities are emerging as new dimensions for evaluating fairness. Regardless of the motivating factor prompting an insurer to adopt fairer pricing strategies for a specific variable, the insurer must possess the capability to define, measure, and ultimately mitigate any fairness biases inherent in its pricing practices while upholding standards of consistency and performance. This study seeks to provide a comprehensive set of tools for these endeavors and assess their effectiveness through practical application in the context of automobile insurance. Results show that fairness bias can be found in historical data and models, and that fairer outcomes can be obtained by more fairness-aware approaches.

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衡量和减少汽车保险定价中的偏差
非寿险部门在高度竞争和严格监管的框架内运作,面临着制定定价战略的关键时刻。保险公司不得不利用一系列统计方法和可用数据来构建最佳定价结构,既要符合公司的总体战略,又要适应市场竞争的动态。鉴于保险的基本社会作用,保险费率受到监管机构的严格审查。因此,定价行为已经超越了单纯的统计计算,而承载着战略和社会因素的重量。这些多方面的考虑可能会促使保险公司在考虑各种变量的情况下制定公平的保费。例如,法规要求提供公平的保费,考虑投保人性别等因素。互助团体也可以根据各自的公司战略,实施基于年龄的公平保费。在某些保险领域,是否患有严重疾病或残疾正在成为评估公平性的新维度。无论促使保险公司对特定变量采取更公平定价策略的动因是什么,保险公司都必须具备定义、衡量并最终减少其定价实践中固有的公平性偏差的能力,同时坚持一致性和绩效标准。本研究旨在为这些努力提供一套全面的工具,并通过在汽车保险中的实际应用来评估其有效性。研究结果表明,在历史数据和模型中可以发现公平性偏差,而通过更具公平意识的方法可以获得更公平的结果。
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来源期刊
European Actuarial Journal
European Actuarial Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
8.30%
发文量
35
期刊介绍: Actuarial science and actuarial finance deal with the study, modeling and managing of insurance and related financial risks for which stochastic models and statistical methods are available. Topics include classical actuarial mathematics such as life and non-life insurance, pension funds, reinsurance, and also more recent areas of interest such as risk management, asset-and-liability management, solvency, catastrophe modeling, systematic changes in risk parameters, longevity, etc. EAJ is designed for the promotion and development of actuarial science and actuarial finance. For this, we publish original actuarial research papers, either theoretical or applied, with innovative applications, as well as case studies on the evaluation and implementation of new mathematical methods in insurance and actuarial finance. We also welcome survey papers on topics of recent interest in the field. EAJ is the successor of six national actuarial journals, and particularly focuses on links between actuarial theory and practice. In order to serve as a platform for this exchange, we also welcome discussions (typically from practitioners, with a length of 1-3 pages) on published papers that highlight the application aspects of the discussed paper. Such discussions can also suggest modifications of the studied problem which are of particular interest to actuarial practice. Thus, they can serve as motivation for further studies.Finally, EAJ now also publishes ‘Letters’, which are short papers (up to 5 pages) that have academic and/or practical relevance and consist of e.g. an interesting idea, insight, clarification or observation of a cross-connection that deserves publication, but is shorter than a usual research article. A detailed description or proposition of a new relevant research question, short but curious mathematical results that deserve the attention of the actuarial community as well as novel applications of mathematical and actuarial concepts are equally welcome. Letter submissions will be reviewed within 6 weeks, so that they provide an opportunity to get good and pertinent ideas published quickly, while the same refereeing standards as for other submissions apply. Both academics and practitioners are encouraged to contribute to this new format. Authors are invited to submit their papers online via http://euaj.edmgr.com.
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