Climate change in Tigray, Ethiopia: Assessing impacts on smallholders’ risk perception and food security

Q2 Environmental Science Environmental Challenges Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI:10.1016/j.envc.2024.100972
Tadele Tafese Habtie , Ermias Teferi , Fantu Guta
{"title":"Climate change in Tigray, Ethiopia: Assessing impacts on smallholders’ risk perception and food security","authors":"Tadele Tafese Habtie ,&nbsp;Ermias Teferi ,&nbsp;Fantu Guta","doi":"10.1016/j.envc.2024.100972","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Amidst the ongoing global climate change crisis, characterized by unpredictable weather patterns and increasing environmental shocks, farming communities are among the most vulnerable. This vulnerability is particularly evident in Tigray, Ethiopia. This study, which investigates the incidence of climate change and its variability in relation to risk perception and food security of farming communities in Tigray, has significant implications for future action. It uses climate and the Living Standards Measurement Study panel data. A multi-method analytical procedure is employed to assess changes in temperature and rainfall, understand farmers’ climate change risk perception, and signify the welfare effects of droughts on farmers. The study finds significant warming trends, particularly increasing warming nights, and variable but increasing rainfall trends. Farmers do perceive climate change as a reality (85.53%) and a threat to their welfare (23%). Cooperation, diversification, irrigation, wealth, drought, and access to services were identified as drivers of this risk perception. Similarly, the study found drought is a significant driver of food insecurity. Other variables associated with food security status substantially are wealth, head marital status, and non-farm participation. It concludes that climate change is a reality and a perceived risk in Tigray. It poses a threat to the lives and livelihoods of its farming communities. It is recommended that farm households’ adaptive capacity be enhanced through improved livelihood options, promotion of cooperation, development of irrigation schemes, and increased access to weather and climate information.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":34794,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Challenges","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667010024001380/pdfft?md5=69e5d788e16968f47bf6161d41bfc462&pid=1-s2.0-S2667010024001380-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Environmental Challenges","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667010024001380","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"Environmental Science","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

Amidst the ongoing global climate change crisis, characterized by unpredictable weather patterns and increasing environmental shocks, farming communities are among the most vulnerable. This vulnerability is particularly evident in Tigray, Ethiopia. This study, which investigates the incidence of climate change and its variability in relation to risk perception and food security of farming communities in Tigray, has significant implications for future action. It uses climate and the Living Standards Measurement Study panel data. A multi-method analytical procedure is employed to assess changes in temperature and rainfall, understand farmers’ climate change risk perception, and signify the welfare effects of droughts on farmers. The study finds significant warming trends, particularly increasing warming nights, and variable but increasing rainfall trends. Farmers do perceive climate change as a reality (85.53%) and a threat to their welfare (23%). Cooperation, diversification, irrigation, wealth, drought, and access to services were identified as drivers of this risk perception. Similarly, the study found drought is a significant driver of food insecurity. Other variables associated with food security status substantially are wealth, head marital status, and non-farm participation. It concludes that climate change is a reality and a perceived risk in Tigray. It poses a threat to the lives and livelihoods of its farming communities. It is recommended that farm households’ adaptive capacity be enhanced through improved livelihood options, promotion of cooperation, development of irrigation schemes, and increased access to weather and climate information.

查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
埃塞俄比亚提格雷地区的气候变化:评估对小农风险意识和粮食安全的影响
全球气候变化危机持续不断,天气模式变幻莫测,环境冲击日益加剧,在这种情况下,农业社区是最脆弱的群体之一。这种脆弱性在埃塞俄比亚提格雷地区尤为明显。本研究调查了气候变化的发生率及其可变性与提格雷地区农业社区的风险意识和粮食安全的关系,对未来的行动具有重要意义。研究使用了气候和生活水平衡量研究的面板数据。采用多种方法分析程序来评估气温和降雨量的变化,了解农民对气候变化风险的认识,以及干旱对农民福利的影响。研究发现,气候变暖趋势明显,尤其是夜间气温不断升高,降雨量的变化趋势多变但不断增加。农民确实认为气候变化是一个现实(85.53%),并对他们的福利构成威胁(23%)。合作、多样化、灌溉、财富、干旱和获得服务被认为是这种风险意识的驱动因素。同样,研究发现干旱也是粮食不安全的一个重要驱动因素。与粮食安全状况密切相关的其他变量包括财富、户主婚姻状况和非农业参与。研究得出结论认为,气候变化是提格雷地区的一个现实,也是一种可感知的风险。它对农业社区的生活和生计构成了威胁。建议通过改善生计选择、促进合作、发展灌溉计划以及增加获取天气和气候信息的机会来提高农户的适应能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
Environmental Challenges
Environmental Challenges Environmental Science-Environmental Engineering
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
249
审稿时长
8 weeks
期刊最新文献
Long-term monitoring, predicting and connection between built-up land and urban heat island patterns based on remote sensing data Overcoming barriers to proactive plastic recycling toward a sustainable future Development of a brand value measurement model with a corporate social responsibility perspective. A comparative analysis of consumer perception of energy providers in Spain and Colombia Application of meta-heuristic hybrid models in estimating the average air temperature of Caspian sea coast of Iran Global change drives potential niche contraction and range shift of globally threatened African vulture
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1