Handling Partially Observed Trial Data After Treatment Withdrawal: Introducing Retrieved Dropout Reference-Base Centred Multiple Imputation.

IF 1.3 4区 医学 Q4 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY Pharmaceutical Statistics Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI:10.1002/pst.2416
Suzie Cro, James H Roger, James R Carpenter
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Abstract

The ICH E9(R1) Addendum (International Council for Harmonization 2019) suggests treatment-policy as one of several strategies for addressing intercurrent events such as treatment withdrawal when defining an estimand. This strategy requires the monitoring of patients and collection of primary outcome data following termination of randomised treatment. However, when patients withdraw from a study early before completion this creates true missing data complicating the analysis. One possible way forward uses multiple imputation to replace the missing data based on a model for outcome on- and off-treatment prior to study withdrawal, often referred to as retrieved dropout multiple imputation. This article introduces a novel approach to parameterising this imputation model so that those parameters which may be difficult to estimate have mildly informative Bayesian priors applied during the imputation stage. A core reference-based model is combined with a retrieved dropout compliance model, using both on- and off-treatment data, to form an extended model for the purposes of imputation. This alleviates the problem of specifying a complex set of analysis rules to accommodate situations where parameters which influence the estimated value are not estimable, or are poorly estimated leading to unrealistically large standard errors in the resulting analysis. We refer to this new approach as retrieved dropout reference-base centred multiple imputation.

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处理治疗退出后的部分观察试验数据:引入以检索到的辍学参考基数为中心的多重估算。
ICH E9(R1)增编(国际协调理事会,2019 年)建议,在定义估算指标时,将治疗政策作为解决治疗退出等并发症的几种策略之一。该策略要求对患者进行监测,并在随机治疗终止后收集主要结果数据。但是,如果患者在研究完成前提前退出,就会造成真正的数据缺失,使分析变得复杂。一种可行的方法是使用多重归因法来替换缺失数据,该方法基于研究退出前治疗中和治疗后的结果模型,通常称为检索辍学多重归因法。本文介绍了一种新颖的方法来为这一估算模型设置参数,以便在估算阶段对那些可能难以估计的参数应用轻度信息贝叶斯先验。基于参考文献的核心模型与检索到的辍学顺应性模型相结合,同时使用治疗中和治疗后的数据,形成一个用于估算的扩展模型。这就减轻了指定一套复杂的分析规则的问题,以适应影响估计值的参数无法估计或估计不准确导致分析结果标准误差过大的情况。我们将这种新方法称为以检索辍学参考基数为中心的多重估算。
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来源期刊
Pharmaceutical Statistics
Pharmaceutical Statistics 医学-统计学与概率论
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
6.70%
发文量
90
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Pharmaceutical Statistics is an industry-led initiative, tackling real problems in statistical applications. The Journal publishes papers that share experiences in the practical application of statistics within the pharmaceutical industry. It covers all aspects of pharmaceutical statistical applications from discovery, through pre-clinical development, clinical development, post-marketing surveillance, consumer health, production, epidemiology, and health economics. The Journal is both international and multidisciplinary. It includes high quality practical papers, case studies and review papers.
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