Clinical spectrum and risk factors of severe dengue among hospitalized patients - a cross-sectional study during the 2023 dengue epidemic in Bangladesh

Rafiya Afroz, Aditi Rani Das, Abtahir Rahim Taha, Abdur Rahim, Mohammad Rafiqul Islam
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Abstract

Introduction: Dengue is a significant public health concern for Bangladesh with recurrent epidemics. This study aimed to investigate the clinical and biochemical presentations and identify risk factors for severe dengue among patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital during the 2023 epidemic in Bangladesh. Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital in Bangladesh between July and September 2023. Data were collected from 176 adult patients with serologically confirmed dengue infection. Clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded, and severity of dengue was categorized according to WHO guidelines. Logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of severe dengue. Results: Of the 176 patients included, 113 had severe dengue and 63 had non-severe dengue. The mean age was 34.5 (SD 14.3) years, with a male-female ratio of 1:1.07. Conventional symptoms including fever, myalgia, headache, and retro-orbital pain were present in majority of patients, with warning signs present in twothirds of them. Laboratory findings showed leukocytopenia (53%), thrombocytopenia (25.6%), elevated hematocrit level (4.5%), elevated ALT, AST and ferritin level (36%, 24% and 50% respectively). Logistic regression identified persistent vomiting (aOR 3.22, 95% CI 1.41–8.04), clinical fluid accumulation (aOR 2.23, 95% CI 1.13–5.74), and elevated serum AST (aOR 3.13, 95% CI 1.30–7.79) as predictors of severe dengue. Conclusion: Most dengue cases presented with typical symptoms and warning signs, with associated laboratory abnormalities. Persistent vomiting, clinical fluid accumulation, and elevated serum AST levels upon admission could predict severe dengue. J MEDICINE 2024; 25: 121-128
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孟加拉国 2023 年登革热疫情期间住院病人严重登革热的临床表现和风险因素横断面研究
导言:登革热是孟加拉国的一个重大公共卫生问题,经常出现流行病。本研究旨在调查孟加拉国 2023 年登革热疫情期间一家三级医院收治的登革热病人的临床和生化表现,并确定重症登革热的风险因素。研究方法这项横断面研究于 2023 年 7 月至 9 月期间在孟加拉国一家三级护理医院进行。研究收集了 176 名经血清学确诊感染登革热的成年患者的数据。记录了临床和实验室参数,并根据世界卫生组织指南对登革热严重程度进行了分类。采用逻辑回归法确定严重登革热的预测因素。结果显示在纳入的 176 名患者中,113 人患有重症登革热,63 人患有非重症登革热。平均年龄为 34.5 岁(标准差为 14.3 岁),男女比例为 1:1.07。大多数患者出现发热、肌痛、头痛和眶后疼痛等常规症状,其中三分之二的患者出现了预警征兆。实验室检查结果显示白细胞减少(53%)、血小板减少(25.6%)、血细胞比容水平升高(4.5%)、谷丙转氨酶、谷草转氨酶和铁蛋白水平升高(分别为 36%、24% 和 50%)。逻辑回归确定持续呕吐(aOR 3.22,95% CI 1.41-8.04)、临床积液(aOR 2.23,95% CI 1.13-5.74)和血清谷草转氨酶升高(aOR 3.13,95% CI 1.30-7.79)为重症登革热的预测因素。结论大多数登革热病例具有典型的症状和警示体征,并伴有实验室异常。入院时出现持续呕吐、临床液体积聚和血清 AST 水平升高可预测登革热病情严重。
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