Navigating the environmental impact of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty: Evidence from load capacity curve hypothesis in BRICST economies

IF 3.5 4区 社会学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Natural Resources Forum Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI:10.1111/1477-8947.12538
Khatib Ahmad Khan, Phan The Cong, Ali Abbas, Paiman Ahmad, Nguyen Ngoc Quynh, Minh‐Quang Nguyen, Ahsan Anwar
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Abstract

Global warming, climate disruptions, and environmental challenges are significant concerns in the present era, placing socioeconomic burdens on nations globally as humanity progresses at an unprecedented pace. In this framework, the load capacity factor (LCF) has evolved to demonstrate the environment‐damaging behavior of the population and nature's reaction to such damage. Thus, improving LCF by economies has become crucial for attaining the sustainable development goals (SDGs). In doing so, the current study scrutinizes the influence of geopolitical risk (GPR), economic policy uncertainty (EPU), economic growth (EG), renewable energy consumption (REC), natural resource rent (NRR), and financial development (FD) on LCF in BRICST economies during 1990–2020. We use the panel quantile regression (PQR) technique for empirical outcomes. The PQR technique can capture the heterogeneous role of explanatory factors. The empirical results of the PQR method validate the U‐shaped LCC hypothesis through the non‐linear evaluation of EG and LCF. Furthermore, results reveal that GPR, EPU, and FD adversely affect environmental quality. However, REC and NRR's supportive role in improving LCF is found. Keeping in view these empirical results, the study suggests an extensive policy framework for attaining the objectives of SDG 13 (climate change), SDG 08 (decent work and economic growth ), SDG 16 (peace for sustainable development), SDG 12 (responsible consumption and production), and SDG 07 (clean energy) in BRICST economies.
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驾驭地缘政治风险和经济政策不确定性的环境影响:金砖四国经济中负载能力曲线假设的证据
全球变暖、气候破坏和环境挑战是当今时代的重大问题,随着人类以前所未有的速度发展,这些问题给全球各国带来了社会经济负担。在这一框架下,负荷能力系数(LCF)逐渐发展起来,以显示人口破坏环境的行为以及大自然对这种破坏的反应。因此,提高各经济体的负载能力系数对于实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)至关重要。为此,本研究探讨了 1990-2020 年间地缘政治风险 (GPR)、经济政策不确定性 (EPU)、经济增长 (EG)、可再生能源消费 (REC)、自然资源租金 (NRR) 和金融发展 (FD) 对金砖四国经济体 LCF 的影响。我们采用面板量化回归(PQR)技术得出实证结果。PQR 技术可以捕捉解释因素的异质性作用。PQR 方法的实证结果通过对 EG 和 LCF 的非线性评估验证了 U 型 LCC 假设。此外,结果还显示,GPR、EPU 和 FD 对环境质量有不利影响。然而,REC 和 NRR 对改善 LCF 起着支持作用。考虑到这些实证结果,本研究提出了一个广泛的政策框架,以便在金砖四国的经济体中实现可持续发展目标 13(气候变化)、可持续发展目标 08(体面工作和经济增长)、可持续发展目标 16(和平促进可持续发展)、可持续发展目标 12(负责任的消费和生产)和可持续发展目标 07(清洁能源)。
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来源期刊
Natural Resources Forum
Natural Resources Forum 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
6.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
>36 weeks
期刊介绍: Natural Resources Forum, a United Nations Sustainable Development Journal, focuses on international, multidisciplinary issues related to sustainable development, with an emphasis on developing countries. The journal seeks to address gaps in current knowledge and stimulate policy discussions on the most critical issues associated with the sustainable development agenda, by promoting research that integrates the social, economic, and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. Contributions that inform the global policy debate through pragmatic lessons learned from experience at the local, national, and global levels are encouraged. The Journal considers articles written on all topics relevant to sustainable development. In addition, it dedicates series, issues and special sections to specific themes that are relevant to the current discussions of the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD). Articles must be based on original research and must be relevant to policy-making. Criteria for selection of submitted articles include: 1) Relevance and importance of the topic discussed to sustainable development in general, both in terms of policy impacts and gaps in current knowledge being addressed by the article; 2) Treatment of the topic that incorporates social, economic and environmental aspects of sustainable development, rather than focusing purely on sectoral and/or technical aspects; 3) Articles must contain original applied material drawn from concrete projects, policy implementation, or literature reviews; purely theoretical papers are not entertained.
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