Dynamics of Money Market and Monetary Policy

Muhammad Ashfaq Ahmed, Nasreen Nawaz
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Abstract

Objective: Contemporary research on monetary policy does not account for the loss/gain in efficiency during the adjustment of the market and the after-policy vis-a-vis pre-policy equilibrium in the money market. After a central bank exercises a monetary policy, the central bank’s cost as a supplier of money rises to pre-policy cost plus the per unit money cost incurred due to monetary policy, which affects money supply and pushes the money market out of equilibrium. Demand and supply of money along with the interest rate follow certain adjustment mechanism until the final equilibrium arrives. The basis of adjustment is lack of coordination regarding decisions of consumers and suppliers of money at the prevailing interest rate. For the design of an optimal monetary policy, efficiency considerations both during the adjustment of the market as well as in final equilibrium are important to be taken care of. This research designs a dynamic money market model and derives an optimal monetary policy. Methods: A perfectly competitive money market with five agents has been modeled. The equations maximizing their objectives have been derived and solved simultaneously to solve the model. An optimal monetary policy has been derived by minimizing the objective function of efficiency loss, i.e., supply or consumption of money lost in post-policy equilibrium vis-a-vis the pre-policy one, and the loss during the time market is adjusting subject to central bank’s cost constraint. Results: Derived mathematical expressions outline the optimal expansionary and contractionary monetary policies considering the adjustments in demand and supply over time. Conclusion: The expressions are functions of demand, supply, and inventory curves’ slopes as well as initial pre-policy equilibrium quantity of funds.
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货币市场动态与货币政策
目的:当代的货币政策研究没有考虑到市场调节过程中的效率损益,以及政策后货币市场相对于政策前货币市场的均衡。在中央银行实施货币政策后,中央银行作为货币供应者的成本会上升到政策前的成本加上因货币政策而产生的单位货币成本,从而影响货币供应量,使货币市场失去平衡。货币的需求和供给以及利率遵循一定的调整机制,直到最终达到均衡。调整的基础是消费者和货币供应者在现行利率下的决策缺乏协调。为了设计出最优的货币政策,在市场调整和最终均衡时都必须考虑效率问题。本研究设计了一个动态货币市场模型,并推导出最优货币政策。研究方法模拟了一个有五个代理人的完全竞争货币市场。推导出最大化其目标的方程,并同时求解该模型。通过最小化效率损失(即政策后均衡与政策前均衡相比的货币供应或消费损失)的目标函数,以及在中央银行成本约束下市场调整期间的损失,得出了最优货币政策。结果:推导出的数学表达式概括了考虑到需求和供给随时间调整的最优扩张性和紧缩性货币政策。结论:这些表达式是需求、供给和库存曲线斜率以及政策前的初始均衡资金量的函数。
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