MAOOA‐Residual‐Attention‐BiConvLSTM: An Automated Deep Learning Framework for Global TEC Map Prediction

Space Weather Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.1029/2024sw003954
Haoran Wang, Haijun Liu, Jing Yuan, H. Le, Weifeng Shan, Liangchao Li
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Abstract

The high‐precision prediction of total ionospheric electron content (TEC) is of great significance for improving the accuracy of global navigation satellite systems. There are two problems with the current prediction of TEC: (a) The existing TEC prediction models mainly based on stacked structure, which has insufficient predictive ability when the network has fewer layers, and loss of fine‐grained features when there are more layers, resulting in a decrease in predictive performance; (b) The existing research on ionospheric TEC prediction mainly focuses on building deep learning prediction models, while there is little research on optimizing the hyper‐parameters of TEC prediction models. Optimization can help find a better quasi‐optimal hyperparameter combination and improve the performance of the model. This paper proposed an automatic deep learning framework for global TEC map prediction, named MAOOA‐Residual‐Attitude‐BiConvLSTM. This framework includes a TEC prediction model, Residual‐Attention‐BiConvLSTM, which can simultaneously consider both coarse‐grained and fine‐grained spatiotemporal features. It also includes an optimization algorithm, MAOOA, for optimizing the hyper‐parameters of the model. We conducted comparative experiments between our framework and C1PG, ConvLSTM, ConvGRU, and ED‐ConvLSTM during high solar activity years, low solar activity years, and a magnetic storm event. The results indicate that in all cases, the framework proposed in this paper outperforms the comparative models.
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MAOOA-Residual-Attention-BiConvLSTM:用于全球 TEC 地图预测的自动深度学习框架
电离层电子总含量(TEC)的高精度预测对于提高全球导航卫星系统的精度具有重要意义。目前的 TEC 预测存在两个问题:(a)现有的 TEC 预测模型主要基于堆叠结构,当网络层数较少时预测能力不足,层数较多时细粒度特征丢失,导致预测性能下降;(b)现有的电离层 TEC 预测研究主要集中在建立深度学习预测模型,而对 TEC 预测模型的超参数优化研究较少。优化可以帮助找到更好的准最优超参数组合,提高模型的性能。本文提出了一种用于全球 TEC 地图预测的自动深度学习框架,命名为 MAOOA-Residual-Attitude-BiConvLSTM。该框架包括一个 TEC 预测模型--Residual-Attention-BiConvLSTM,它可以同时考虑粗粒度和细粒度时空特征。它还包括一种优化算法 MAOOA,用于优化模型的超参数。我们在高太阳活动年、低太阳活动年和磁暴事件期间对我们的框架与 C1PG、ConvLSTM、ConvGRU 和 ED-ConvLSTM 进行了对比实验。结果表明,在所有情况下,本文提出的框架都优于比较模型。
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