Dynamic interaction in sustainable energy: Learning from South Sumatra in transforming conflict into collaboration to accelerate energy mix targets

Pri Hermawan, Rafi Ndari Ardianto, Crista Fialdila Suryanto, Aryansyah
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Abstract

Energy transition is an alternative solution that emerged as an effort to achieve zero net emissions. The countries that signed the Paris Agreement are expected to reach their targets by 2030. Indonesia targets this agreement by performing the energy mix set at 25% nationally. Many provinces have difficulties achieving its implementation due to conflicts between related stakeholders, including industry. However, some provinces have shown promising transition changes with accelerated target achievement. This research aims to identify how the government of South Sumatra can reach beyond the National Target by turning the conflict into a collaboration between government and industry. The collaboration impacts accelerating the achievement of the energy mix target. A multi-layered approach was used to analyze the dynamics of the energy transition by demonstrating the energy transition process in Indonesia using Actor Interaction analysis, Dilemma analysis, and System Analysis. Therefore, the bottom-up approach chosen, systematically uncovering actor interactions within and across systems. Interviews were carried out for data collection. The results of the interviews were identified until a series of methods emerged that were used to identify the collaboration that occurred. The analysis found that local governments encounter dilemmatic situations to balance a smooth energy transition process and ensure stable socioeconomic conditions. The system dynamic simulation has proven to be a vital addition to Drama Theory and Graph Model for Conflict Resolution, offering a temporal perspective that is fundamental for the decision-making process that concerns the ever-changing environmental situation.
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可持续能源的动态互动:从南苏门答腊学习如何化冲突为合作,加快实现能源组合目标
能源转型是实现零净排放的另一种解决方案。签署《巴黎协定》的国家预计将在 2030 年前实现其目标。印尼以该协议为目标,在全国范围内实现 25% 的能源组合。由于包括工业在内的相关利益方之间存在冲突,许多省份在实施过程中遇到困难。然而,一些省份已经显示出有希望的转型变化,加速了目标的实现。本研究旨在确定南苏门答腊省政府如何通过将冲突转化为政府与行业之间的合作来超越国家目标。这种合作对加速实现能源组合目标产生影响。本研究采用了多层次方法来分析能源转型的动态,通过使用行为者互动分析、困境分析和系统分析来展示印尼的能源转型过程。因此,选择了自下而上的方法,系统地揭示了系统内和系统间的行为者互动。通过访谈收集数据。对访谈结果进行识别,直到出现一系列用于识别协作的方法。分析发现,地方政府在平衡平稳的能源过渡进程和确保稳定的社会经济条件方面遇到了两难境地。事实证明,系统动态模拟是对戏剧理论和冲突解决图表模型的重要补充,它提供了一个时间视角,这对于涉及不断变化的环境状况的决策过程至关重要。
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