Revealing preference discovery: a chronological choice framework

IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Theory and Decision Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI:10.1007/s11238-024-09993-9
João V. Ferreira, Nicolas Gravel
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Abstract

We propose a framework for the analysis of choice behaviour when the latter is made explicitly in chronological order. We relate this framework to the traditional choice theoretic setting from which the chronological aspect is absent, and compare it to other frameworks that extend this traditional setting. Then, we use this framework to analyse various models of preference discovery. We characterise, via simple revealed preference tests, several models that differ in terms of (1) the priors that the decision-maker holds about alternatives and (2) whether the decision-maker chooses period by period or uses her knowledge about future menus to inform her present choices. These results provide novel testable implications for the preference discovery process of myopic and forward-looking agents.

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揭示偏好发现:按时间顺序选择的框架
我们提出了一个框架,用于分析明确按时间顺序做出选择的行为。我们将这一框架与缺乏时间顺序的传统选择理论框架联系起来,并将其与扩展这一传统框架的其他框架进行比较。然后,我们利用这一框架来分析各种偏好发现模型。通过简单的揭示偏好检验,我们描述了几个模型的特征,这些模型在以下方面存在差异:(1) 决策者对替代品持有的先验;(2) 决策者是逐期选择还是利用其对未来菜单的了解来指导当前的选择。这些结果为近视眼和前瞻性代理人的偏好发现过程提供了新的可检验的意义。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
62
期刊介绍: The field of decision has been investigated from many sides. However, research programs relevant to decision making in psychology, management science, economics, the theory of games, statistics, operations research, artificial intelligence, cognitive science and analytical philosophy have remained separate. Theory and Decision is devoted to all aspects of decision making belonging to such programs, but addresses also possible cross-fertilizations between these disciplines which would represent effective advances in knowledge. The purpose of the journal is to let the engineering of choice gradually emerge both for individual and for collective decision making. Formalized treatments will be favoured, to the extent that they provide new insights into the issues raised and an appropriate modeling of the situation considered. Due to its growing importance, expermentation in decision making as well as its links to the cognitive sciences will be granted special attention by Theory and Decision. Of particular interest are: Preference and belief modeling, Experimental decision making under risk or under uncertainty, Decision analysis, multicriteria decision modeling, Game theory, negotiation theory, collective decision making, social choice, Rationality, cognitive processes and interactive decision making, Methodology of the decision sciences. Applications to various problems in management and organization science, economics and finance, computer-supported decision schemes, will be welcome as long as they bear on sufficiently general cases. Analysis of actual decision making processes are also relevant topics for the journal, whether pertaining to individual, collective or negotiatory approaches; to private decisions or public policies; to operations or to strategic choices. Officially cited as: Theory Decis
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