Bidding behaviour in experimental auctions under risk and uncertainty

IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Theory and Decision Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI:10.1007/s11238-024-10005-z
Chloe S. McCallum, Simone Cerroni, Daniel Derbyshire, W. George Hutchinson, Rodolfo M. Nayga
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Abstract

This paper explores bidding behaviour under risk and uncertainty using the Becker-DeGroot-Marschak mechanism (BDM) and second price auction (SPA). It investigates whether values elicited via the two mechanisms are consistent and whether bidding behaviour can be influenced by differences in the number and type of sources of risk and uncertainty that people face when exposed to the two mechanisms. In our experiment, subjects are exposed to non-monetary lotteries where they bid for a high-quality seafood product, but there is a chance (known or unknown) that they receive a lower quality seafood product instead. Results indicate that bidding behaviour can be influenced by the number and type of sources of risk and uncertainty that subjects face and subjects’ bidding behaviour is only consistent with standard theories of decision making under risk and uncertainty when they bid on a risky product in the SPA. Despite this, BDM and SPA elicit equal values under risk and uncertainty in this study.

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风险和不确定性下实验性拍卖中的竞价行为
本文利用贝克尔-德格鲁特-马沙克机制(BDM)和二次价格拍卖(SPA)探讨了风险和不确定性下的竞标行为。本文研究了通过这两种机制得出的价值是否一致,以及当人们面临这两种机制时,竞价行为是否会受到风险和不确定性来源的数量和类型差异的影响。在我们的实验中,受试者会接触到非货币彩票,他们会竞拍高质量的海鲜产品,但有可能(已知或未知)得到质量较低的海鲜产品。结果表明,竞标行为会受到受试者所面临的风险和不确定性来源的数量和类型的影响,只有当受试者在 SPA 中竞标有风险的产品时,他们的竞标行为才符合风险和不确定性下决策的标准理论。尽管如此,在本研究中,BDM 和 SPA 在风险和不确定性下产生了相同的价值。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
62
期刊介绍: The field of decision has been investigated from many sides. However, research programs relevant to decision making in psychology, management science, economics, the theory of games, statistics, operations research, artificial intelligence, cognitive science and analytical philosophy have remained separate. Theory and Decision is devoted to all aspects of decision making belonging to such programs, but addresses also possible cross-fertilizations between these disciplines which would represent effective advances in knowledge. The purpose of the journal is to let the engineering of choice gradually emerge both for individual and for collective decision making. Formalized treatments will be favoured, to the extent that they provide new insights into the issues raised and an appropriate modeling of the situation considered. Due to its growing importance, expermentation in decision making as well as its links to the cognitive sciences will be granted special attention by Theory and Decision. Of particular interest are: Preference and belief modeling, Experimental decision making under risk or under uncertainty, Decision analysis, multicriteria decision modeling, Game theory, negotiation theory, collective decision making, social choice, Rationality, cognitive processes and interactive decision making, Methodology of the decision sciences. Applications to various problems in management and organization science, economics and finance, computer-supported decision schemes, will be welcome as long as they bear on sufficiently general cases. Analysis of actual decision making processes are also relevant topics for the journal, whether pertaining to individual, collective or negotiatory approaches; to private decisions or public policies; to operations or to strategic choices. Officially cited as: Theory Decis
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