High‐beta stock valuation around macroeconomic announcements

IF 2.6 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE FINANCIAL REVIEW Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI:10.1111/fire.12408
Jingjing Chen, George J. Jiang
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Abstract

We document a dramatic swing of high‐beta stock returns around pre‐scheduled macroeconomic announcements—from being negative on the day before, to positive on the day of, and negative again on the day after the announcements. A feasible long‐short strategy of betting against beta (BAB) and betting on beta (BOB) yields annualized 25.28% return over the 3‐day announcement window. We explore potential explanations based on liquidity, risk, and investor risk appetite. Our results show that changes in liquidity, risk, and investor risk appetite around the announcements at best partially account for variations in high‐beta stock returns. The finding of our study highlights the dynamic effect of macroeconomic announcements on asset prices.
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宏观经济公告前后的高贝塔股票估值
我们记录了高贝塔值股票回报率在预先安排的宏观经济公告发布前后的剧烈波动--从公告发布前一天的负值到公告发布当天的正值,再到公告发布后一天的负值。在为期 3 天的公告时间窗口内,一个可行的多空策略--对赌贝塔值(BAB)和对赌贝塔值(BOB)--产生了 25.28% 的年收益率。我们探讨了基于流动性、风险和投资者风险偏好的潜在解释。我们的结果表明,公告前后流动性、风险和投资者风险偏好的变化最多只能部分解释高贝塔股票收益率的变化。我们的研究结果凸显了宏观经济公告对资产价格的动态影响。
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来源期刊
FINANCIAL REVIEW
FINANCIAL REVIEW BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
28.10%
发文量
39
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