Effect of Decision Tree in the ANFIS Models: An Example of Completing Missing Data

IF 1.4 4区 地球科学 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI:10.3103/s1068373924050078
K. Saplioglu, T. S. Kucukerdem Ozturk
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Abstract

Missing data in water resources studies prevent planning. For this reason, data estimation studies are carried out. In this study, ANFIS (Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System) was used to complete the missing data. At the study area, the Yesilirmak Basin located in the north of Turkey, input variables from seven stations and output variable from one station were determined. In the research, 80% (378 months of data) of 504 months of the flow data between 1969 and 2011 was used in the training phase and 20% (126 months of data) was employed in the testing one. The decision tree was used instead of the trial and error method in the selection of input variables and determining the number of membership functions in ANFIS models. It was concluded that the ANFIS model established with the information obtained from the decision tree is successful compared to the randomly established ANFIS models. Using the decision tree before ANFIS models are created will not only minimize the time spent on the model development, but also prevent the best of the possible models from being overlooked.

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决策树在 ANFIS 模型中的作用:缺失数据补全实例
摘要 水资源研究中的数据缺失会妨碍规划。为此,人们开展了数据估算研究。本研究采用 ANFIS(自适应神经模糊推理系统)来补全缺失数据。在研究区域,即位于土耳其北部的耶希尔马克盆地,确定了七个站点的输入变量和一个站点的输出变量。在研究中,1969 年至 2011 年期间 504 个月流量数据的 80%(378 个月数据)用于训练阶段,20%(126 个月数据)用于测试阶段。在选择输入变量和确定 ANFIS 模型的成员函数数量时,使用了决策树而不是试错法。结论是,与随机建立的 ANFIS 模型相比,利用决策树获得的信息建立的 ANFIS 模型是成功的。在建立 ANFIS 模型之前使用决策树不仅能最大限度地减少模型开发所花费的时间,还能避免忽略可能的最佳模型。
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来源期刊
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
28.60%
发文量
44
审稿时长
4-8 weeks
期刊介绍: Russian Meteorology and Hydrology is a peer reviewed journal that covers topical issues of hydrometeorological science and practice: methods of forecasting weather and hydrological phenomena, climate monitoring issues, environmental pollution, space hydrometeorology, agrometeorology.
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