Measuring sex-selective abortion: How many women abort?

IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103342
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Abstract

This paper demonstrates that sex-selective abortion induces a correlation between birth interval length and the sex of the next-born child. Using a statistical model, we show that shorter birth intervals for next-born girls indicate repeated sex-selective abortions between consecutive births. Analyzing data from India, we find evidence of repeated sex-selective abortions at birth order 2 when the first child is a girl, and strong evidence at birth order 3 when the first two children are girls. To quantify the extent of repeated abortions, we propose a maximum likelihood estimator that provides the number of women who abort and their likelihood of performing repeated abortions. Our estimation results reveal significant heterogeneity across birth orders, sibling compositions, and socio-demographic and geographic groups. Notably, literate and urban women who first had a girl rarely abort a second time, whereas women in northern India who first had two girls show a 13% likelihood of repeated sex-selective abortion. In this group, the estimated number of aborted female fetuses—the standard measure of sex-selective abortion—is 50% higher than the number of women who abort.

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衡量针对胎儿性别进行的选择性人工流产:有多少妇女堕胎?
本文证明,性别选择性人工流产会诱发出生间隔长度与下一胎性别之间的相关性。通过统计模型,我们发现下一胎女孩的生育间隔较短,表明连续生育之间存在性别选择性流产。通过分析印度的数据,我们发现当第一胎是女孩时,有证据表明在第二胎时存在重复性别的选择性人工流产,而当第一胎和第二胎都是女孩时,有强有力的证据表明在第三胎时存在重复性别的选择性人工流产。为了量化重复堕胎的程度,我们提出了一种最大似然估计方法,该方法提供了堕胎妇女的数量及其重复堕胎的可能性。我们的估计结果揭示了不同生育顺序、兄弟姐妹构成、社会人口和地理群体之间的显著异质性。值得注意的是,第一次生女孩的识字城市妇女很少进行第二次人工流产,而第一次生两个女孩的印度北部妇女重复进行性别选择性人工流产的可能性为 13%。在这一群体中,流产女胎的估计数量(性别选择性流产的标准衡量标准)比流产妇女的数量高出 50%。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.30
自引率
4.00%
发文量
126
审稿时长
72 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Development Economics publishes papers relating to all aspects of economic development - from immediate policy concerns to structural problems of underdevelopment. The emphasis is on quantitative or analytical work, which is relevant as well as intellectually stimulating.
期刊最新文献
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