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Early maternity and paternity. Effects on educational trajectories
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103404
Matías Berthelon , Dante Contreras , Diana Kruger , María Isidora Palma
This paper investigates the dynamic effects of adolescent parenthood on education enrollment in Chile using administrative data covering six cohorts born between 1990 and 1995. Employing an event study methodology, the analysis reveals substantial and persistent declines for both teen mothers and fathers in school enrollment, but more pronounced and enduring effects for mothers. Heterogeneity assessments expose socioeconomic disparities, indicating larger effects among parents from disadvantaged backgrounds. The study sheds light on the short-term dynamics of educational disruptions caused by early parenthood, offering insights for policy interventions aimed at retaining or reintegrating socioeconomically vulnerable students into the education system.
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引用次数: 0
Labor market effects of bounds on domestic outsourcing
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103406
Bruno Jiménez , Silvio Rendon
In early 2022, Peru enacted regulations to curtail widespread outsourcing, limiting it to activities outside a firm’s core functions. Utilizing quarterly data from Peru’s National Household Surveys (ENAHO) from 2021 to 2022 and yearly data from 2023, this study applies difference-in-differences techniques to assess short-term labor market outcomes. Results show that while outsourcing decreased by 1.7 percentage points, the restrictions had no significant adverse effects on employment, wages, or labor formalization. If anything, employment and labor force participation showed slight, though non-causal, increases. These findings are robust to various tests and alternative specifications, suggesting that the policy primarily impacted outsourcing practices without markedly influencing broader labor outcomes. It did neither destroy jobs nor improve workers’ employment conditions.
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引用次数: 0
On the properties of the two main types of global poverty lines 关于两大类全球贫困线的特性
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103396
Benoit Decerf
Global poverty lines belong to two main types that differ on how the poverty line’s nominal monetary amount is adjusted to prevailing prices and preferences. “Objective” poverty lines capture the cost of a fixed list of achievements. “Welfaristic” poverty lines capture the cost of a fixed level of welfare. Longstanding debates oppose their respective proponents. This conceptual paper is the first to contrast the properties of these two types of poverty lines. Our framework considers both heterogeneous prices and heterogeneous preferences. Our results clarify the normative principles that differentiate them and shed light on these debates. Which type of poverty line satisfies stronger versions of our properties depends on the extent of preferences heterogeneity. We show that, under heterogeneous preferences, the World Bank’s International Poverty Line cannot consistently reflect a fixed list of achievements.
全球贫困线分为两大类,不同的是如何根据现行价格和偏好调整贫困线的名义货币数额。"客观 "贫困线反映的是固定成就清单的成本。"福利性 "贫困线反映的是固定福利水平的成本。长期以来的争论反对它们各自的支持者。这篇概念性论文首次对比了这两类贫困线的特性。我们的框架同时考虑了异质价格和异质偏好。我们的研究结果澄清了区分这两种贫困线的规范性原则,并揭示了这些争论。哪种类型的贫困线满足我们的更强特性,取决于偏好异质性的程度。我们表明,在异质偏好的情况下,世界银行的国际贫困线无法始终如一地反映固定的成就清单。
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引用次数: 0
The local human capital costs of oil exploitation 石油开采的当地人力资本成本
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103410
Lenin H. Balza , Camilo De Los Rios , Raul Jimenez Mori , Osmel Manzano
This paper explores the local-level impacts of oil exploitation on human capital accumulation in Colombia, a resource-rich developing country. We provide evidence based on detailed spatial and temporal data on oil exploitation and education, using the number of wells to measure treatment intensity at the school level. To derive causal estimates, we rely on an instrumental variable approach that exploits the exogeneity of international oil prices and a proxy of local oil endowments. The results indicate that although oil exploitation does not impact enrollment in higher education, it may negatively affect human capital in Colombia since it generates a delay in the decision to enroll. Furthermore, it incentivizes talent allocation away from STEM and professional degrees. Our results suggest no effect on either the quality of secondary education or tertiary education completion. These results are robust to a number of specification changes, and we stress the role of local markets and spillovers as the main transmission channel. In particular, we find that higher oil production increases formal wages, without finding evidence of a premium to tertiary education enrollment in oil-producing areas, and there is a positive spillover to other economic sectors.
本文探讨了资源丰富的发展中国家哥伦比亚石油开采对当地人力资本积累的影响。我们根据有关石油开采和教育的详细时空数据提供证据,使用油井数量来衡量学校层面的处理强度。为了得出因果关系估计值,我们采用了工具变量法,利用国际石油价格和当地石油禀赋的替代物的外生性。结果表明,尽管石油开采并不影响高等教育的入学率,但它可能会对哥伦比亚的人力资本产生负面影响,因为它会导致入学决定的延迟。此外,石油开采还促使人才分配偏离科学、技术、工程和数学以及专业学位。我们的研究结果表明,它对中等教育质量和高等教育的完成率都没有影响。这些结果对一些规格变化是稳健的,我们强调当地市场和溢出效应是主要的传导渠道。特别是,我们发现石油产量增加会提高正规工资,但没有证据表明产油区的高等教育入学率会提高,而且对其他经济部门也有积极的溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Cover more for less: Targeted drug coverage, chronic disease management, and medical spending 少花钱多办事:有针对性的药物保险、慢性病管理和医疗支出
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103399
Julie Shi , Wanyu Yang , Ye Yuan
A key challenge in expanding public health insurance programs is how to deliver these programs cost-effectively with limited budget. This paper studies a value-based insurance design that introduced prescription drug coverage for two chronic diseases—hypertension and diabetes. This targeted drug coverage scheme increased the use of primary care and sharply reduced hospitalizations, leading to substantial net savings in total medical expenditure. Three operating channels were in play. First, a hospitalization offset was achieved by stimulating regular use of primary care and improving disease management. Second, the offset occurred more notably for nontargeted chronic diseases, suggesting a strong positive cross-disease spillover effect. Third, learning contributed to more efficient management of both targeted and nontargeted diseases. Our findings highlight a viable value-based insurance design, especially for developing countries with limited funding.
扩大公共医疗保险计划的一个主要挑战是如何在预算有限的情况下以具有成本效益的方式实施这些计划。本文研究了一种以价值为基础的保险设计,该设计针对两种慢性病--高血压和糖尿病--引入了处方药保险。这种有针对性的药物保险计划提高了初级保健的使用率,大幅减少了住院治疗,从而在医疗总支出方面节省了大量资金。这其中有三个运作渠道。首先,通过鼓励定期使用初级保健和改善疾病管理,实现了住院费用的抵消。其次,非目标慢性病的抵消效果更为明显,这表明跨疾病的溢出效应非常积极。第三,学习有助于更有效地管理目标疾病和非目标疾病。我们的研究结果凸显了一种可行的以价值为基础的保险设计,特别是对于资金有限的发展中国家而言。
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引用次数: 0
Better strategies for saving more: Evidence from three interventions in Chile
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103405
Abhijit Banerjee , Martínez A. Claudia , Esteban Puentes
Individual behavioral biases can affect savings behavior. We conduct an experiment to evaluate different strategies to increase savings. We compare an automatic savings plan (or default rule), monthly reminders, and a rule-of-thumb savings package that appeals to careful spending. We find that rule-of-thumb and default rules can increase savings for one year after the intervention. In contrast, reminders can reduce account balances and debt levels. The increase in savings under the default rule is produced by a (mechanical) increase in deposits, but savings is later decreased by an increase in withdrawals.
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引用次数: 0
Corrigendum to “Rural road stimulus and the role of matching mandates on economic recovery in China” [J. Dev. Econ. 166, (January 2024), 103211] 对 "中国农村公路刺激及配套任务对经济复苏的作用 "的更正[J. Dev. Econ. 166, (January 2024), 103211]
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103400
Anthony Howell
This paper explores the implications for economic recovery of a rural road stimulus program in China that led to the sudden suspension of local matching mandates. The main results reveal that a temporary cost share exemption stimulates short-term income growth in treated villages. As an explanation, I find that a cost share exemption leads to larger increases on local investment mainly on allied road improvements and to a lesser extent support for rural enterprise development and agricultural services. The observed crowding-in effects are further linked to the realloction of households out of agriculture and a rise in entrepreneurial activities by returning migrants. The findings imply that matching mandates impede the ability of fiscally constrained locales to mobilize sufficient resources to cover their share of project costs, contributing to inadequate road investment from upper-levels of government. Suspending matching mandate helps to relax local budget constraints, stimulating income and local multipliers that help to accelerate economic recovery.
本文探讨了中国农村公路刺激计划突然中止地方配套任务对经济复苏的影响。主要结果显示,临时性的成本分摊豁免刺激了受影响村庄的短期收入增长。作为一种解释,我发现费用分摊豁免导致地方投资大幅增加,主要用于配套道路改善,而对农村企业发展和农业服务的支持则较少。观察到的挤入效应还与家庭退出农业以及返乡移民创业活动的增加有关。研究结果表明,配套任务阻碍了财政拮据的地方调动足够资源来支付其项目成本份额的能力,导致上级政府的道路投资不足。暂停配套任务有助于放松地方预算限制,刺激收入和地方乘数,从而有助于加快经济复苏。
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引用次数: 0
A tale of framing and screening: How health messaging and house screening affect malaria transmission in Ethiopia 框架和筛查的故事:健康信息和房屋筛查如何影响埃塞俄比亚的疟疾传播
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103407
Solomon Balew , Erwin Bulte , Zewdu Abro , Abebe Asale , Clifford Mutero , Menale Kassie
Malaria is a major public health problem in Africa. Traditional methods of controlling malaria no longer provide adequate protection against transmission, and future approaches likely require a combination of technical solutions and behavioral change. We use a cluster randomized controlled trial to study the impacts of an intervention that combines house screening with a behavioral intervention based on health messaging. While house screening provides modest positive benefits, these benefits can be leveraged if it is combined with health messaging. We provide tentative evidence that the impact of messaging varies with the design of the choice architecture: loss-framed health messages seem to do better than gain-based messages––our data suggest they may have larger and more durable effects on behavior and health outcomes.
疟疾是非洲的一个主要公共卫生问题。传统的疟疾控制方法已无法提供足够的传播保护,未来的方法可能需要技术解决方案与行为改变相结合。我们采用分组随机对照试验的方法,研究将入户筛查与基于健康信息的行为干预相结合的干预措施的影响。虽然入户筛查能带来一定的积极效益,但如果能与健康信息相结合,这些效益就能发挥更大的作用。我们提供的初步证据表明,信息传递的影响因选择架构的设计而异:以损失为框架的健康信息似乎比以收益为基础的信息效果更好--我们的数据表明,它们可能对行为和健康结果产生更大、更持久的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Blaming the wind? The impact of wind turbine on bird biodiversity 怪罪于风?风力涡轮机对鸟类生物多样性的影响
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103402
Lina Meng , Pengfei Liu , Yinggang Zhou , Yingdan Mei
We quantitatively assess the impacts of onshore wind turbines on bird diversity using citizen science data in China. Results show that a one-standard-deviation increase in wind turbines reduces bird abundance by 9.75% and leads to a 12.2% reduction in bird species richness at the county level. The negative impacts are more significant in migrant birds, birds in forests, urban and farmlands than others. Biodiversity protection helps to safeguard bird abundance against wind turbines. We also find that habitat loss rather than food chain change after the wind turbine installations contributes to biodiversity loss. The net impact of wind turbines on the environment is positive when considering the carbon reduction effects.
我们利用中国的公民科学数据定量评估了陆上风力涡轮机对鸟类多样性的影响。结果表明,风力涡轮机每增加一个标准差,鸟类丰度就会降低 9.75%,并导致县级鸟类物种丰富度降低 12.2%。与其他鸟类相比,风力涡轮机对候鸟、森林鸟类、城市鸟类和农田鸟类的负面影响更为显著。保护生物多样性有助于保护鸟类数量不受风力涡轮机的影响。我们还发现,风力涡轮机安装后导致生物多样性丧失的原因是栖息地丧失而非食物链变化。考虑到减碳效应,风力涡轮机对环境的净影响是积极的。
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引用次数: 0
What matters for the decision to study abroad? A lab-in-the-field experiment in Cape Verde 出国留学的决定取决于什么?在佛得角进行的实验室实地实验
IF 5.1 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103401
Catia Batista , David M. Costa , Pedro Freitas , Gonçalo Lima , Ana B. Reis
Study abroad migration is the fastest growing international migration flow. However, the college completion rates of students from low-income countries are often modest in OECD countries, raising the hypothesis that these migrants are poorly informed about the costs and benefits of their decision. Our work tests this hypothesis by running a lab-in-the-field experiment where graduating high school students in Cape Verde are faced with incentivized decisions to apply for college studies abroad. Our results show that potential migrants react strongly to information about the availability of financial support and about college completion rates. Since subjects’ prior beliefs on availability of financial support are overestimated, it is likely that study migrants need to shift their time from study to work after uninformed migration, which likely harms their scholar performance. Policies that inform potential migrants of actual study funding possibilities should decrease study migration flows but may improve successful graduation.
留学移民是增长最快的国际移民流。然而,在经合组织国家,低收入国家学生的大学毕业率往往不高,这就提出了一个假设,即这些移民对其决定的成本和收益知之甚少。我们的研究通过实验室实地实验验证了这一假设。在实验中,佛得角的高中毕业生面临着申请出国读大学的激励决策。我们的研究结果表明,潜在移民对是否有资助和大学毕业率的信息反应强烈。由于受试者之前对可获得资助的看法被高估,留学移民在不知情的情况下移民后很可能需要将时间从学习转移到工作上,这很可能会损害他们的学习成绩。让潜在移民了解实际学习资助可能性的政策应该会减少学习移民流动,但可能会提高成功毕业率。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Development Economics
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