Testing the Multiple Streams Framework in US state legislatures

Rob A. DeLeo, Clifton Chow
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Abstract

Despite a robust literature applying the Multiple Streams Framework (MSF) to national government institutions, there remains a dearth of research examining the theory’s explanatory power in US state legislative contexts. This omission is problematic given the critical role state legislatures play in driving policy change in a host of policy domains, including healthcare, emergency preparedness and voting rights policy, to name a few. To fill this gap in the research, this study applies the MSF to the case of climate adaptation policy making in the Massachusetts State Legislature. Using a mixed methods design, it assesses the effect of all three of the MSF’s streams (the problem, politics and policy streams), as well as the concept of policy entrepreneurship on the climate adaptation policy agenda of the Massachusetts State Legislature between the years 2001 and 2020. The findings suggest that agenda activity was largely driven by changes within the political stream, namely the election of a Republican governor. In addition to advancing the MSF by providing one of the most comprehensive quantitative analyses of the framework to date, this article draws on new data from the State House News Service and other sources of state legislative floor debates to present a new methodological approach for measuring agenda change. In this way, the article makes a clear theoretical contribution to the MSF literature as well as providing new analysis of state-level climate adaptation policy adoption.
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在美国各州立法机构测试多重流框架
尽管有大量文献将 "多重流框架"(MSF)应用于国家政府机构,但对该理论在美国各州立法背景下的解释力的研究仍然十分匮乏。鉴于州立法机构在推动一系列政策领域(包括医疗保健、应急准备和投票权政策等)的政策变革方面发挥着至关重要的作用,这一研究的缺失是有问题的。为了填补这一研究空白,本研究将 MSF 应用于马萨诸塞州立法机构的气候适应政策制定。本研究采用混合方法设计,评估了 MSF 的所有三个流(问题流、政治流和政策流)以及政策创业概念对 2001 年至 2020 年马萨诸塞州议会气候适应政策议程的影响。研究结果表明,议程活动在很大程度上是由政治流的变化(即共和党州长的当选)驱动的。除了通过提供迄今为止对该框架最全面的定量分析之一来推进 MSF 外,本文还利用了来自州议会新闻服务处和其他来源的州议会辩论的新数据,提出了一种衡量议程变化的新方法。通过这种方式,文章为 MSF 文献做出了明确的理论贡献,并为州一级气候适应政策的采纳提供了新的分析。
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