Day-of-Week, Month, and Seasonal Demand Variations: Comparing Flow Estimates Across New Travel Data Sources

Findings Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI:10.32866/001c.118815
Kentaro Mori, Kara M. Kockelman
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Abstract

Transportation planners and engineers are increasingly interested in incorporating demand variations into travel models. Regression models are used to predict and compare variations in permanent traffic recorder (PTR) counts along Texas highways to vehicle-kilometers traveled (VKT) inferred from INRIX’s probe-vehicle data across days of the year. Results suggest INRIX data do not illuminate month-of-year variations in network use, due to random or unexpected shifts in sampling rates, but significant day-of-week differences are clear in both. Furthermore, INRIX appears to capture much more light-duty-vehicle travel than PTRs on Saturdays, but this may be due to location-based services’ over-counting of vehicles carrying multiple mobile devices and/or PTRs’ highway-site bias.
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周日、月份和季节性需求变化:比较新旅行数据源的流量估计值
交通规划人员和工程师对将需求变化纳入交通模型的兴趣与日俱增。回归模型用于预测和比较德克萨斯州高速公路永久交通记录仪(PTR)计数与 INRIX 探针车辆数据推断出的全年各天车辆行驶公里数(VKT)的变化。结果表明,由于采样率的随机或意外变化,INRIX 数据并不能揭示网络使用的年月变化,但两者在周日的显著差异是显而易见的。此外,与 PTR 相比,INRIX 在周六捕捉到的轻型车辆出行数据似乎要多得多,但这可能是由于定位服务对携带多个移动设备的车辆进行了过多计算,以及/或 PTR 的高速公路站点偏差造成的。
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