Assessment of Sustainable Aviation Fuel Production Methods: A Promethee II Approach

Ibrahim Temam Ibrahim, A. Kuşakcı, Amna Abdullah
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Abstract

Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) present a feasible solution to decarbonize modern aviation. Unlike traditional jet fuels, SAFs are produced in a variety of ways, thereby choosing one of these processes as a complicated Multi-Criteria Decision challenge that involves conflicting priorities. This study evaluates SAF production processes using a multicriteria methodology, PROMETHEE-2. With SAF technology in its nascent stage and limited data, several stakeholders in the aviation sector were enlisted to assist in the collection of data and preferences. The suggested framework’s strength lies in its adaptability to suit the subjective opinions of diverse stakeholders, selection of ranking system, and robustness of outcomes. This research engaged stakeholders in a participative manner to rank 11 (A1 to A11) SAF production paths based on 24 parameters categorized into social, environmental, economic, and technological evaluation criteria. Industry professionals were given a form to rate SAF production methods according to a performance criterion. Data is validated using fuzzy TOPSIS and fuzzy VIKOR and PROMETHEE-II to reduce professionals’ judgmental personal prejudice. Results indicate the optimal feedstock for SAF production is the direct transition process of CO2 to SAF (A11) in the gasification or Fischer-T synthesis group.
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评估可持续航空燃料生产方法:普罗米修斯 II 方法
可持续航空燃料(SAF)是现代航空业去碳化的可行解决方案。与传统喷气燃料不同,可持续航空燃料的生产方式多种多样,因此选择其中一种生产工艺是一项复杂的多标准决策挑战,涉及相互冲突的优先事项。本研究采用多标准方法 PROMETHEE-2 对 SAF 生产工艺进行了评估。由于 SAF 技术尚处于起步阶段,数据有限,因此在收集数据和偏好的过程中邀请了航空部门的几位利益相关者提供协助。建议框架的优势在于其适应性,可满足不同利益相关者的主观意见、选择排序系统以及结果的稳健性。这项研究让利益相关者以参与的方式,根据社会、环境、经济和技术评估标准等 24 个参数,对 11 条(A1 至 A11)SAF 生产路径进行排序。行业专业人士获得了一份表格,根据绩效标准对 SAF 生产方法进行评分。使用模糊 TOPSIS、模糊 VIKOR 和 PROMETHEE-II 对数据进行验证,以减少专业人士的个人偏见判断。结果表明,生产 SAF 的最佳原料是气化或 Fischer-T 合成组中从 CO2 到 SAF 的直接转化过程(A11)。
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