DFFNet: A Rainfall Nowcasting Model Based on Dual-Branch Feature Fusion

Shuxian Liu, Yulong Liu, Jiong Zheng, Yuanyuan Liao, Guohong Zheng, Yongjun Zhang
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Abstract

Timely and accurate rainfall prediction is crucial to social life and economic activities. Because of the influence of numerous factors on rainfall, making precise predictions is challenging. In this study, the northern Xinjiang region of China is selected as the research area. Based on the pattern of rainfall in the local area and the needs of real life, rainfall is divided into four levels, namely ‘no rain’, ‘light rain’, ‘moderate rain’, and ‘heavy rain and above’, for rainfall levels nowcasting. To solve the problem that the existing model can only extract a single time dependence and cause the loss of some valuable information in rainfall data, a prediction model named DFFNet, which is based on dual-branch feature fusion, is proposed in this paper. The two branches of the model are composed of Transformer and CNN, which are used to extract time dependence and feature interaction in meteorological data, respectively. The features extracted from the two branches are fused for prediction. To verify the performance of DFFNet, the India public rainfall dataset and some sub-datasets in the UEA dataset are chosen for comparison. Compared with the baseline models, DFFNet achieves the best prediction performance on all the selected datasets; compared with the single-branch model, the training time consumption of DFFNet on the two rainfall datasets is reduced by 21% and 9.6%, respectively, and it has a faster convergence speed. The experimental results show that it has certain theoretical value and application value for the study of rainfall nowcasting.
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DFFNet:基于双分支特征融合的降雨预报模型
及时准确的降雨预测对社会生活和经济活动至关重要。由于降雨受多种因素的影响,进行精确预测具有很大的挑战性。本研究选择中国新疆北部地区作为研究区域。根据当地降雨的规律和现实生活的需要,将降雨分为 "无雨"、"小雨"、"中雨 "和 "大雨及以上 "四个等级,进行降雨等级预报。为了解决现有模型只能提取单一时间相关性,导致雨量数据中一些有价值信息丢失的问题,本文提出了一种基于双分支特征融合的预测模型,名为 DFFNet。该模型的两个分支由 Transformer 和 CNN 组成,分别用于提取气象数据中的时间依赖性和特征交互。从两个分支中提取的特征将被融合用于预测。为了验证 DFFNet 的性能,我们选择了印度公共降雨数据集和 UEA 数据集中的一些子数据集进行比较。与基线模型相比,DFFNet 在所有选定的数据集上都取得了最佳预测性能;与单分支模型相比,DFFNet 在两个降雨数据集上的训练时间消耗分别减少了 21% 和 9.6%,而且收敛速度更快。实验结果表明,DFFNet 对降雨预报的研究具有一定的理论价值和应用价值。
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