How does Labour intend to achieve Economic Growth? A Response to Rachel Reeves's Mais Lecture

Aveek Bhattacharya
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Abstract

The new Labour government's overriding priority is economic growth—and chancellor Rachel Reeves's March 2024 Mais lecture is the clearest statement of how they intend to achieve it. The anticipated ‘dullness dividend’ from being more stable than recent Conservative governments is likely to be small, while the incoming government will have to confront trade‐offs—for example, accepting lower consumption—to increase investment. Planning reform is at the heart of Labour's proposed supply side reforms, but it remains unclear whether the party will be bold enough to follow through on its rhetoric. Labour also believes that stronger worker protections will increase productivity. By contrast, education, migration and trade are more marginal in Labour's growth narrative. It is to be seen how far Labour has made a virtue of necessity by prioritising cheaper and apparently less politically contentious growth measures.
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工党打算如何实现经济增长?对蕾切尔-里夫斯梅斯讲座的回应
新一届工党政府的首要任务是实现经济增长--财政大臣雷切尔-里夫斯(Rachel Reeves)在 2024 年 3 月的梅斯演讲中最明确地阐述了他们打算如何实现这一目标。与近几届保守党政府相比,工党政府更加稳定,因此预期中的 "沉闷红利 "可能很小,而新一届政府将不得不面对取舍--例如,接受较低的消费以增加投资。规划改革是工党提出的供给侧改革的核心,但工党是否会大胆地将其言辞付诸实践仍是个未知数。工党还认为,加强对工人的保护将提高生产率。相比之下,教育、移民和贸易在工党的增长论调中显得更加边缘化。工党优先考虑成本更低、政治争议明显更少的增长措施,在多大程度上做到了 "因势利导",我们拭目以待。
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