Comparing Information Theory Analysis With Cross‐Correlation and Minimum Variance Analysis of the Solar Wind Structures

Space Weather Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI:10.1029/2024sw003870
K. M. Holland, H. Nykyri, X. Ma, S. Wing
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Abstract

The space weather effects at the Earth's magnetosphere are mostly driven by the solar wind that carries the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). In this paper, we use 2 years of data in the solar wind from lunar orbiting ARTEMIS and MMS spacecraft upstream of the Earth's bow shock to study the structure of the IMF. We determine the lag times of IMF structures and their dependence on spacecraft positions by conducting an information theory analysis and comparing it with two traditional analysis methods: cross‐correlation (CC) analysis and minimum variance of magnetic field analysis (MVAB). For the events with long time intervals (i.e., >4 hr) and with small‐spatial separation between the MMS and ARTEMIS along the yGSM‐direction (i.e., <40Re, where Re is the Earth's radius), the lag times based on the CC and the mutual information (MI) analyses statistically agree with each other, with p‐values of 1.675 × 10−7 and 4.833 × 10−9, with the confidence of 95%. Both the results based on MI and CC have a large deviation from the results from MVAB. For some of the events, such a deviation could be improved by taking the fast mode speed into account; however, p‐tests showed that they were not statistically significant to the 95% confidence level.
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将信息论分析与太阳风结构的交叉相关分析和最小方差分析进行比较
地球磁层的空间天气效应主要由携带行星际磁场(IMF)的太阳风驱动。在本文中,我们利用来自地球弓形冲击上游的月球轨道 ARTEMIS 和 MMS 航天器的两年太阳风数据来研究 IMF 的结构。我们通过信息论分析确定了 IMF 结构的滞后时间及其与航天器位置的关系,并与两种传统分析方法进行了比较:交叉相关分析(CC)和磁场最小方差分析(MVAB)。对于时间间隔较长(即大于 4 小时)且沿 yGSM 方向 MMS 和 ARTEMIS 之间空间间隔较小(即小于 40Re,Re 为地球半径)的事件,基于 CC 和互信息(MI)分析的滞后时间在统计上是一致的,P 值分别为 1.675 × 10-7 和 4.833 × 10-9,置信度为 95%。基于 MI 和 CC 的结果都与 MVAB 的结果有较大偏差。对于某些事件,考虑到快速模式速度后,这种偏差可能会有所改善;但 p 检验表明,在 95% 的置信水平下,这些偏差在统计上并不显著。
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