Validity test of small cell lung cancer (SCLC) graded prognostic assessment and proposal of a new index for patients with brain metastases from SCLC

Abstract

Background and purpose

We performed a validity test of a recently-reported, small cell lung cancer (SCLC) graded prognostic assessment (GPA) system for SCLC patients with brain metastases (BMs). Thereafter, we created a new prognostic index, the SCLC Grade, for such patients.

Materials and methods

We studied 508 SCLC patients selected from among nearly 7000 consecutive patients undergoing gamma knife SRS for BMs since 1998.

Results

In the SCLC GPA, there were no median survival time (MST) differences among pairs of the neighboring subgroups. Therefore, the 508 patients were randomly divided into the two series, i.e., a test (340 patients) and a validity (168) series. In the test series, five factors were identified by univariable analyses as favoring longer survival (rounded lower 95 % CI of the HR was at least 1.3): Sex, Karnofsky Performance Status, tumor numbers, primary tumor status and extracerebral metastases. This new index is the sum of scores (0 and 1) of these five factors: SCLC-Grade 4–6 (score of 4, 5 or 6), 2–3 (2 or 3), and 0–1 (0 or 1). This new system showed highly statistically significant MST differences among subclasses. Next, this SCLC-Grade was applied to the verification series. Consistent results were obtained, i.e., there were highly statistically significant MST differences among subclasses.

Conclusions

Our validity test results for the SCLC GPA demonstrated this system to not precisely reflect the outcomes of SCLC patients with BMs. Our results suggest the herein-proposed SCLC-Grade to have superior prognostic value.