Labor market outcomes during opposite resource shocks: the 2009 and 2012 earthquakes in Italy

IF 1.9 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Empirica Pub Date : 2024-08-02 DOI:10.1007/s10663-024-09625-z
Andrea Bernini
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Abstract

The 2009 and 2012 earthquakes in Italy occurred in a close-knit region and time horizon but differed substantially on both the initial shock to the stock and the subsequent flow of resources. This paper considers the short run impact on the dynamic response of labor market outcomes. Both earthquakes lowered employment and labor force participation by more than 0.5%. With its negative effect on the resources available, the 2009 shock led to a drop in real wages of 1.3% and a sharp—but short-lived—widening of the wage gap generated by the skill premium. The 2012 earthquake, which led firms to upgrade their technology, increased wages by 2.2% and led to a more balanced—but persistent—widening of the wage gap. The predictions of a model developed in this paper are consistent with these results.

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相反资源冲击下的劳动力市场结果:2009 年和 2012 年意大利地震
2009 年和 2012 年的意大利地震发生在一个紧密相连的地区和时间范围内,但在对存量的初始冲击和随后的资源流动方面却存在很大差异。本文探讨了地震对劳动力市场结果动态响应的短期影响。两次地震都使就业率和劳动力参与率下降了 0.5%以上。由于对可用资源产生了负面影响,2009 年的地震导致实际工资下降了 1.3%,技能溢价造成的工资差距急剧扩大,但这一现象持续时间很短。2012 年的地震导致企业进行技术升级,工资增长了 2.2%,工资差距更加均衡,但持续扩大。本文所建立模型的预测与这些结果一致。
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来源期刊
Empirica
Empirica ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: Empirica is a peer-reviewed journal, which publishes original research of general interest to an international audience. Authors are invited to submit empirical papers in all areas of economics with a particular focus on European economies. Per January 2021, the editors also solicit descriptive papers on current or unexplored topics. Founded in 1974, Empirica is the official journal of the Nationalökonomische Gesellschaft (Austrian Economic Association) and is published in cooperation with Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO). The journal aims at a wide international audience and invites submissions from economists around the world. Officially cited as: Empirica
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