A comparative analysis of the spatial determinants of e-bike and e-scooter sharing link flows

Abstract

Shared micromobility in the U.S. has rebound after the decline caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, with a substantial increase in the adoption of shared e-bikes nationwide. However, research on hybrid e-bike sharing, which combines station-based and dockless systems, is limited. This study addresses this gap by comparing spatial determinants of hybrid e-bike and dockless e-scooter sharing link flows in 32,965 street segments in Portland, Oregon during 2022, using gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) models. Distance to the city center emerges as the most important determinant for both modes, with closer proximity to the city center associated with higher link flows. Factors such as the presence and types of bike facilities, the availability of streetlights and street trees, and job density also significantly influence e-bike and e-scooter link flows. A notable difference between the two modes is that e-scooter trips are more sensitive to distance to the city center than e-bike trips. Furthermore, bike facilities have a greater impact on e-bike link flows, whereas job density is more influential in determining e-scooter link flows. These findings offer strategies for policymakers and urban planners to promote and manage shared micromobility and optimize the built environment. These strategies include enforcing higher device availability requirements in underprivileged neighborhoods, transitioning e-scooter sharing systems into a hybrid model, expanding the off-street bike trial network and bikeway network, and augmenting the coverage of streetlights and street trees along the bikeway network.