Patterns of indicators of climate change for three different decades in Australia

IF 1.827 Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences Arabian Journal of Geosciences Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI:10.1007/s12517-024-12043-x
Evan Hajani
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Abstract

This study focused on assessing and analyzing meteorological characteristics based on rainfall and temperature data from eight stations in Australia over the past three decades (1991–2000, 2001–2010, and 2011–2020). A Mann–Kendall test, followed by Sen’s slope analysis, was conducted to evaluate the spatial and temporal patterns of the most common indicators of climate change. Several drought indices were used to monitor and detect drought occurrences in the study area. It was found that from 2011 to 2020, most stations recorded negative rainfall trends, with no significant trends overall. Northern Australia saw slight rainfall increases, the northeast had notable increases, and the southwest and southeast showed drying trends. Minimum temperatures increased in northern and northeastern Australia, with significant positive trends at some stations. Maximum temperatures showed slight increases, with several stations having significant positive trends. PET values were higher at stations with low rainfall and high temperatures. The results of the drought indices show a normal drought cycle that recurs every ten years. Additionally, the driest conditions were recorded in the most recent decade, with extreme dryness noted in 2011–2020 compared to previous decades, highlighting the complex and changing climate patterns in Australia with varying regional impacts.

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澳大利亚三个不同年代的气候变化指标模式
本研究的重点是根据过去三十年(1991-2000 年、2001-2010 年和 2011-2020 年)澳大利亚八个站点的降雨量和温度数据评估和分析气象特征。通过 Mann-Kendall 检验和森氏斜率分析,对最常见的气候变化指标的空间和时间模式进行了评估。研究使用了多个干旱指数来监测和检测研究区域的干旱发生情况。研究发现,从 2011 年到 2020 年,大多数站点的降雨量呈负增长趋势,总体趋势不明显。澳大利亚北部的降雨量略有增加,东北部的降雨量明显增加,西南部和东南部则呈现干燥趋势。澳大利亚北部和东北部的最低气温有所上升,一些站点的气温呈显著上升趋势。最高气温略有上升,一些站点的气温呈显著上升趋势。降雨量低、气温高的站点 PET 值较高。干旱指数结果显示,干旱周期正常,每十年重复一次。此外,最近十年是最干旱的时期,与之前几十年相比,2011-2020 年出现了极端干旱,这凸显了澳大利亚复杂多变的气候模式以及不同地区所受的影响。
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来源期刊
Arabian Journal of Geosciences
Arabian Journal of Geosciences GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
自引率
0.00%
发文量
1587
审稿时长
6.7 months
期刊介绍: The Arabian Journal of Geosciences is the official journal of the Saudi Society for Geosciences and publishes peer-reviewed original and review articles on the entire range of Earth Science themes, focused on, but not limited to, those that have regional significance to the Middle East and the Euro-Mediterranean Zone. Key topics therefore include; geology, hydrogeology, earth system science, petroleum sciences, geophysics, seismology and crustal structures, tectonics, sedimentology, palaeontology, metamorphic and igneous petrology, natural hazards, environmental sciences and sustainable development, geoarchaeology, geomorphology, paleo-environment studies, oceanography, atmospheric sciences, GIS and remote sensing, geodesy, mineralogy, volcanology, geochemistry and metallogenesis.
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