T. Ryan McCarley, Andrew T. Hudak, Benjamin C. Bright, James Cronan, Paige Eagle, Roger D. Ottmar, Adam C. Watts
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Characterisation of fuel consumption provides critical insights into fire behaviour, effects, and emissions. Stand-replacing prescribed fire experiments in central Utah offered an opportunity to generate consumption estimates in coordination with other research efforts.
Aims
We sought to generate fuel consumption maps using pre- and post-fire airborne laser scanning (ALS) and ground measurements and to test the spatial transferability of the ALS-derived fuel models.
Methods
Using random forest (RF), we empirically modelled fuel load and estimated consumption from pre- and post-fire differences. We used cross-validation to assess RF model performance and test spatial transferability.
Key results
Consumption estimates for overstory fuels were more precise and accurate than for subcanopy fuels. Transferring RF models to provide consumption estimates in areas without ground training data resulted in loss of precision and accuracy.
Conclusions
Fuel consumption maps were produced and are available for researchers who collected coincident fire behaviour, effects, and emissions data. The precision and accuracy of these data vary by fuel type. Transferability of the models to novel areas depends on the user’s tolerance for error.
Implications
This study fills a critical need in the broader set of research efforts linking fire behaviour, effects, and emissions.
背景燃料消耗的特征为了解火灾行为、影响和排放提供了重要依据。犹他州中部的支架置换预设火灾实验为我们提供了一个与其他研究工作协调生成燃料消耗估计值的机会。目的我们试图利用火灾前后的机载激光扫描(ALS)和地面测量来生成燃料消耗图,并测试 ALS 衍生燃料模型的空间可转移性。方法我们利用随机森林(RF)对燃料负荷进行了经验建模,并根据火灾前后的差异估算了燃料消耗量。我们使用交叉验证来评估 RF 模型的性能并测试空间可转移性。主要结果上层燃料的消耗量估计值比树冠下燃料的消耗量估计值更精确、更准确。将射频模型转移到没有地面训练数据的地区以提供消耗估算,会导致精度和准确性的损失。结论制作了燃料消耗图,并提供给收集火灾行为、影响和排放数据的研究人员。这些数据的精度和准确性因燃料类型而异。能否将模型应用到新的地区取决于用户对误差的容忍度。影响这项研究满足了将火灾行为、影响和排放联系起来的更广泛研究工作的关键需求。
期刊介绍:
International Journal of Wildland Fire publishes new and significant articles that advance basic and applied research concerning wildland fire. Published papers aim to assist in the understanding of the basic principles of fire as a process, its ecological impact at the stand level and the landscape level, modelling fire and its effects, as well as presenting information on how to effectively and efficiently manage fire. The journal has an international perspective, since wildland fire plays a major social, economic and ecological role around the globe.
The International Journal of Wildland Fire is published on behalf of the International Association of Wildland Fire.