Blackout burning in dry conditions increases long-term fire severity risk

Abstract

We use case studies to explore the impact of changed fire regimes on vegetation structure and fuel risk in Southeast Queensland, Australia. Multiple studies report high intensity wildfires promote excessive shrub and sapling densities, which increase elevated fuel hazard. We argue asset protection burns in dry conditions can cause similar vegetation thickening to an intense wildfire, which increases fire severity risk due to increased elevated fuel loads. We demonstrate regular low intensity burning with adequate soil moisture can achieve fuel reduction objectives. This provides a longer-term solution that promotes risk reduction to communities, whilst leading to better ecological outcomes and reduced cost of implementation over the long-term.