{"title":"Social and health factors influence self-reported evacuation intentions in the wildfire-prone island of Tasmania, Australia","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104712","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Personal decisions regarding evacuation to a safer place in response to the threat of wildfire have multiple social and cultural influences. However, little is understood about the role of an individual's health in shaping these decisions. Aim: To investigate associations between self-reported sociodemographic and health-related variables and wildfire evacuation intentions.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We used data collected in the 2016 Tasmanian Population Health Survey and implemented log binomial regression modelling to characterise associations between variables, including overall health status, presence of a chronic medical condition, age group, sex, educational attainment, employment status, financial security, and intention to leave during a wildfire threat.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Females were significantly more likely than males to report an intention to leave (RR = 1.52, 95 % CI [1.40–1.66]), as were those with higher versus lower educational attainment (RR = 1.02, 95 % CI [1.00–1.03]), and those with a diagnosis of depression/anxiety (RR = 1.07, 95 % CI [1.00–1.15]) compared to those without. When stratified by sex, significant associations with intention to leave and asthma and higher educational attainment were observed in males (asthma: RR = 1.28, 95 % CI [1.04–1.57]; educational attainment RR = 1.05, 95 % CI [1.01–1.09]), while the association with anxiety/depression was imprecisely elevated for females (RR = 1.08, 95 % CI [1.00–1.16]). For males only, the presence of a chronic condition was significantly associated with an intention to stay (RR = 0.78, 95 % CI [0.62–0.99]).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Sex, educational attainment, and the presence of asthma and depression/anxiety influenced evacuation intentions for residents in our study. Such social, demographic and health differences should be considered in planning communication and messaging to residents in fire-prone areas.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004746/pdfft?md5=d2402f29af6aea41aec588ff4667b2ca&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004746-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004746","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Personal decisions regarding evacuation to a safer place in response to the threat of wildfire have multiple social and cultural influences. However, little is understood about the role of an individual's health in shaping these decisions. Aim: To investigate associations between self-reported sociodemographic and health-related variables and wildfire evacuation intentions.
Methods
We used data collected in the 2016 Tasmanian Population Health Survey and implemented log binomial regression modelling to characterise associations between variables, including overall health status, presence of a chronic medical condition, age group, sex, educational attainment, employment status, financial security, and intention to leave during a wildfire threat.
Results
Females were significantly more likely than males to report an intention to leave (RR = 1.52, 95 % CI [1.40–1.66]), as were those with higher versus lower educational attainment (RR = 1.02, 95 % CI [1.00–1.03]), and those with a diagnosis of depression/anxiety (RR = 1.07, 95 % CI [1.00–1.15]) compared to those without. When stratified by sex, significant associations with intention to leave and asthma and higher educational attainment were observed in males (asthma: RR = 1.28, 95 % CI [1.04–1.57]; educational attainment RR = 1.05, 95 % CI [1.01–1.09]), while the association with anxiety/depression was imprecisely elevated for females (RR = 1.08, 95 % CI [1.00–1.16]). For males only, the presence of a chronic condition was significantly associated with an intention to stay (RR = 0.78, 95 % CI [0.62–0.99]).
Conclusion
Sex, educational attainment, and the presence of asthma and depression/anxiety influenced evacuation intentions for residents in our study. Such social, demographic and health differences should be considered in planning communication and messaging to residents in fire-prone areas.
个人在应对野火威胁时做出撤离到更安全的地方的决定会受到多种社会和文化的影响。然而,人们对个人健康在这些决定中的作用却知之甚少。目的:调查自我报告的社会人口和健康相关变量与野火疏散意向之间的关联。我们使用了 2016 年塔斯马尼亚人口健康调查收集的数据,并采用对数二叉回归模型来描述变量之间的关联,包括总体健康状况、是否患有慢性疾病、年龄组、性别、教育程度、就业状况、经济保障以及在野火威胁期间撤离的意愿。女性报告有意离开的可能性明显高于男性(RR = 1.52,95 % CI [1.40-1.66]),教育程度高的人与教育程度低的人相比也是如此(RR = 1.02,95 % CI [1.00-1.03]),被诊断出患有抑郁症/焦虑症的人与未被诊断出患有抑郁症/焦虑症的人相比也是如此(RR = 1.07,95 % CI [1.00-1.15])。按性别进行分层后,观察到男性的离职意愿与哮喘和较高的教育程度有明显的关联(哮喘:RR = 1.28,95 % CI [1.00-1.15]):RR=1.28,95 % CI [1.04-1.57];受教育程度 RR=1.05,95 % CI [1.01-1.09]),而女性与焦虑/抑郁的相关性不精确地升高(RR=1.08,95 % CI [1.00-1.16])。仅就男性而言,是否患有慢性疾病与逗留意愿显著相关(RR = 0.78,95 % CI [0.62-0.99])。在我们的研究中,性别、教育程度、是否患有哮喘和抑郁/焦虑症都会影响居民的撤离意愿。在计划向火灾易发地区的居民进行宣传和发送信息时,应考虑到这些社会、人口和健康方面的差异。
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international.
Key topics:-
-multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters
-the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques
-discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels
-disasters associated with climate change
-vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends
-emerging risks
-resilience against disasters.
The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.