{"title":"The information content of retail order flow: Evidence from fragmented markets","authors":"Bidisha Chakrabarty , Justin Cox , James E Upson","doi":"10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107275","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We examine the information content of off-exchange retail order flow relative to off-exchange institutional and on-exchange order flow. We use alternative sources of retail order identification and account for the fact that market opacity affects the order routing choices of both institutions and the brokers who sell retail orders. After controlling for volume effects, we find that retail order flow is more informed than off-exchange institutional order flow. Off-exchange price discovery comes mostly from retail order flow. However, on days with greater Robinhood activity, the information content of retail order flow drops. Our results reconcile some mixed findings in this literature.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48460,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Banking & Finance","volume":"167 ","pages":"Article 107275"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Banking & Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378426624001894","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
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Abstract
We examine the information content of off-exchange retail order flow relative to off-exchange institutional and on-exchange order flow. We use alternative sources of retail order identification and account for the fact that market opacity affects the order routing choices of both institutions and the brokers who sell retail orders. After controlling for volume effects, we find that retail order flow is more informed than off-exchange institutional order flow. Off-exchange price discovery comes mostly from retail order flow. However, on days with greater Robinhood activity, the information content of retail order flow drops. Our results reconcile some mixed findings in this literature.
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The Journal of Banking and Finance (JBF) publishes theoretical and empirical research papers spanning all the major research fields in finance and banking. The aim of the Journal of Banking and Finance is to provide an outlet for the increasing flow of scholarly research concerning financial institutions and the money and capital markets within which they function. The Journal''s emphasis is on theoretical developments and their implementation, empirical, applied, and policy-oriented research in banking and other domestic and international financial institutions and markets. The Journal''s purpose is to improve communications between, and within, the academic and other research communities and policymakers and operational decision makers at financial institutions - private and public, national and international, and their regulators. The Journal is one of the largest Finance journals, with approximately 1500 new submissions per year, mainly in the following areas: Asset Management; Asset Pricing; Banking (Efficiency, Regulation, Risk Management, Solvency); Behavioural Finance; Capital Structure; Corporate Finance; Corporate Governance; Derivative Pricing and Hedging; Distribution Forecasting with Financial Applications; Entrepreneurial Finance; Empirical Finance; Financial Economics; Financial Markets (Alternative, Bonds, Currency, Commodity, Derivatives, Equity, Energy, Real Estate); FinTech; Fund Management; General Equilibrium Models; High-Frequency Trading; Intermediation; International Finance; Hedge Funds; Investments; Liquidity; Market Efficiency; Market Microstructure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Networks; Performance Analysis; Political Risk; Portfolio Optimization; Regulation of Financial Markets and Institutions; Risk Management and Analysis; Systemic Risk; Term Structure Models; Venture Capital.
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