All Inclusive Climate Policy in a Growing Economy: The Role of Human Health

Lucas Bretschger, Evgenij Komarov
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Abstract

Standard climate economics considers damages of climate change to utility, total factor productivity, and capital. Highlighting that air pollution and climate change affect human health and labor productivity significantly, we complement this literature by including human health in a theoretical climate economic framework. Our macroeconomic approach incorporates a separate health sector and provides closed-form analytical solutions for the main model variables. Economic growth is endogenously driven by innovations, which depend on labor availability and productivity. These aspects of the labor force are directly linked to human health, which is harmed by burning fossil fuels. We calculate growth in the decentralized equilibrium and derive optimal climate policy. Calibrating the model by taking standard parameter values we show the economic growth rate to be higher for the planner solution compared to the market outcome. For an optimal climate policy, we find that 44% of total resource stock should be extracted when considering damages to capital, but only 1% of the stock should be extracted in an “all inclusive” approach where health damages are included. The health perspective requires optimal environmental policies that are much more stringent than those normally advocated in climate economics, since harm to human health has negative effects on economic growth, which makes the overall impact of climate change very large.

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经济增长中的全包气候政策:人类健康的作用
标准的气候经济学考虑了气候变化对效用、全要素生产率和资本的损害。考虑到空气污染和气候变化对人类健康和劳动生产率的重大影响,我们将人类健康纳入气候经济学的理论框架,从而对上述文献进行了补充。我们的宏观经济方法包含了一个独立的健康部门,并为主要模型变量提供了闭式分析解。经济增长由创新内生驱动,而创新取决于劳动力的可用性和生产率。劳动力的这些方面与人类健康直接相关,而燃烧化石燃料会损害人类健康。我们计算了分散均衡中的增长,并推导出最优气候政策。通过采用标准参数值对模型进行校准,我们发现与市场结果相比,规划者方案的经济增长率更高。对于最优气候政策,我们发现在考虑资本损害的情况下,应提取总资源存量的 44%,但在考虑健康损害的 "全包 "方法中,只应提取存量的 1%。从健康角度看,最优环境政策需要比气候经济学通常倡导的政策更为严格,因为对人类健康的损害会对经济增长产生负面影响,这使得气候变化的总体影响非常大。
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