Semiparametric Estimation of Individual Coefficients in a Dyadic Link Formation Model Lacking Observable Characteristics

L. Sanna Stephan
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Abstract

Dyadic network formation models have wide applicability in economic research, yet are difficult to estimate in the presence of individual specific effects and in the absence of distributional assumptions regarding the model noise component. The availability of (continuously distributed) individual or link characteristics generally facilitates estimation. Yet, while data on social networks has recently become more abundant, the characteristics of the entities involved in the link may not be measured. Adapting the procedure of \citet{KS}, I propose to use network data alone in a semiparametric estimation of the individual fixed effect coefficients, which carry the interpretation of the individual relative popularity. This entails the possibility to anticipate how a new-coming individual will connect in a pre-existing group. The estimator, needed for its fast convergence, fails to implement the monotonicity assumption regarding the model noise component, thereby potentially reversing the order if the fixed effect coefficients. This and other numerical issues can be conveniently tackled by my novel, data-driven way of normalising the fixed effects, which proves to outperform a conventional standardisation in many cases. I demonstrate that the normalised coefficients converge both at the same rate and to the same limiting distribution as if the true error distribution was known. The cost of semiparametric estimation is thus purely computational, while the potential benefits are large whenever the errors have a strongly convex or strongly concave distribution.
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缺乏可观测特征的二元联系形成模型中个体系数的半参数估计
二元网络形成模型在经济研究中具有广泛的适用性,但在存在个体特定效应和缺乏模型噪声成分分布假设的情况下,很难进行估计。个人或链接特征(连续分布)的可用性通常有助于估算。然而,虽然社会网络的数据最近变得越来越丰富,但参与链接的实体的特征可能无法测量。通过改编 citet{KS} 的程序,我提议仅使用网络数据对个体固定效应系数进行半参数估计,该系数承载了对个体相对受欢迎程度的解释。这就意味着有可能预测一个新来的个体将如何在已有群体中建立联系。快速收敛所需的估计器未能实现关于模型噪声成分的单调性假设,因此有可能颠倒固定效应系数的顺序。我采用数据驱动的新方法对固定效应系数进行归一化处理,可以方便地解决这一问题和其他数值问题。我证明了归一化系数收敛于同一水平,并收敛于相同的极限分布,就像已知的真实误差分布一样。因此,半参数估计的成本纯粹是计算成本,而当误差具有强凸或强凹分布时,半参数估计的潜在优势则非常大。
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