Peak-Hour Road Congestion Pricing: Experimental Evidence and Equilibrium Implications

IF 6.6 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Econometrica Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI:10.3982/ECTA18422
Gabriel Kreindler
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Abstract

Developing country megacities suffer from severe road traffic congestion, yet the level of congestion is not a direct measure of equilibrium inefficiency. I study the peak-hour traffic congestion equilibrium in Bangalore. To measure travel preferences, I use a model of departure time choice to design a field experiment with congestion pricing policies and implement it using precise GPS data. Commuter responses in the experiment reveal moderate schedule inflexibility and a high value of time. I then show that in Bangalore, traffic density has a moderate and linear impact on travel delay. My policy simulations with endogenous congestion indicate that optimal congestion charges would lead to a small reduction in travel times, and small commuter welfare gains. This result is driven primarily by the shape of the congestion externality. Overall, these results suggest limited commuter welfare benefits from peak-spreading traffic policies in cities like Bangalore.

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高峰时段道路拥堵定价:实验证据和均衡影响
发展中国家的特大城市存在严重的道路交通拥堵问题,但拥堵程度并不能直接衡量均衡效率的低下程度。我研究了班加罗尔高峰时段的交通拥堵均衡。为了衡量出行偏好,我利用出发时间选择模型设计了一个拥堵定价政策实地实验,并利用精确的 GPS 数据加以实施。通勤者在实验中的反应显示了中等程度的时间安排不灵活和对时间的高度重视。然后,我证明了在班加罗尔,交通密度对出行延迟有适度的线性影响。我对内生性拥堵进行的政策模拟表明,最佳拥堵收费将导致出行时间的小幅缩短,通勤者的福利收益也会很小。造成这一结果的主要原因是拥堵外部性的形状。总体而言,这些结果表明,在班加罗尔等城市,高峰时段交通政策带来的通勤者福利收益有限。
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来源期刊
Econometrica
Econometrica 社会科学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
3.30%
发文量
75
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Econometrica publishes original articles in all branches of economics - theoretical and empirical, abstract and applied, providing wide-ranging coverage across the subject area. It promotes studies that aim at the unification of the theoretical-quantitative and the empirical-quantitative approach to economic problems and that are penetrated by constructive and rigorous thinking. It explores a unique range of topics each year - from the frontier of theoretical developments in many new and important areas, to research on current and applied economic problems, to methodologically innovative, theoretical and applied studies in econometrics. Econometrica maintains a long tradition that submitted articles are refereed carefully and that detailed and thoughtful referee reports are provided to the author as an aid to scientific research, thus ensuring the high calibre of papers found in Econometrica. An international board of editors, together with the referees it has selected, has succeeded in substantially reducing editorial turnaround time, thereby encouraging submissions of the highest quality. We strongly encourage recent Ph. D. graduates to submit their work to Econometrica. Our policy is to take into account the fact that recent graduates are less experienced in the process of writing and submitting papers.
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