Blessing or curse energy sustainability: how does climate change affect renewable energy consumption in China?

IF 4.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environment, Development and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI:10.1007/s10668-024-05271-4
Ran Yi, An Chen
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Abstract

The utilization of renewable energy is closely linked to the attainment of sustainable development goals (SDGs). In the context of climate change, examining how climate change affects renewable energy consumption is crucial. In theory, climate change is expected to prompt governments to implement policies conducive to developing renewable energy, thereby increasing renewable energy consumption. Regarding the empirical research, we construct and measure the climate change index, policy response index, and renewable energy consumption index of 30 provinces (cities) in China from 2000 to 2021 and then test the relationships between the three variables using fixed effects and mediating effects models. The results show that (1) climate change significantly promotes renewable energy consumption, with stronger promotion observed in economically developed provinces (cities) (rHigh=0.848 > rLow=0.235) and heavily polluting enterprise-intensive provinces (cities) (rIntensive=3.712 > rOthers=0.776); (2) the policy response has been proven to be a partial mediating effect of climate change on renewable energy consumption, with statistical significance at the 1% level; (3) in contrast to prior studies, we reveal that foreign direct investment (r=-30.449) and trade openness (r=-0.787) exert negative influences on China’s renewable energy consumption, whereas the total dependency ratio (r = 4.815) positively impacts China’s renewable energy consumption. China needs to address the regional disparities in the policy response to renewable energy development and should promote industrial restructuring, strengthen environmental supervision, and guide investments in renewable sectors.

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能源可持续发展是福是祸:气候变化如何影响中国的可再生能源消费?
可再生能源的利用与可持续发展目标(SDGs)的实现密切相关。在气候变化的背景下,研究气候变化如何影响可再生能源消费至关重要。从理论上讲,气候变化有望促使政府实施有利于发展可再生能源的政策,从而增加可再生能源的消费。在实证研究方面,我们构建并测算了 2000 年至 2021 年中国 30 个省(市)的气候变化指数、政策响应指数和可再生能源消费指数,然后利用固定效应和中介效应模型检验了三个变量之间的关系。结果表明:(1)气候变化显著促进可再生能源消费,经济发达省(市)(rHigh=0.848 >;rLow=0.235)和重污染企业密集省(市)(rIntensive=3.712 >;rOthers=0.776);(2)政策应对被证明是气候变化对可再生能源消费的部分中介效应,其统计显著性在1%的水平上;(3)与以往研究不同,我们发现外商直接投资(r=-30.449)和贸易开放度(r=-0.787)对中国可再生能源消费产生负面影响,而总抚养比(r=4.815)对中国可再生能源消费产生正面影响。中国需要解决可再生能源发展政策反应中的地区差异,促进产业结构调整,加强环境监管,引导可再生能源领域的投资。
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来源期刊
Environment, Development and Sustainability
Environment, Development and Sustainability Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
10.20
自引率
6.10%
发文量
754
期刊介绍: Environment, Development and Sustainability is an international and multidisciplinary journal covering all aspects of the environmental impacts of socio-economic development. It is also concerned with the complex interactions which occur between development and environment, and its purpose is to seek ways and means for achieving sustainability in all human activities aimed at such development. The subject matter of the journal includes the following and related issues: -mutual interactions among society, development and environment, and their implications for sustainable development -technical, economic, ethical and philosophical aspects of sustainable development -global sustainability - the obstacles and ways in which they could be overcome -local and regional sustainability initiatives, their practical implementation, and relevance for use in a wider context -development and application of indicators of sustainability -development, verification, implementation and monitoring of policies for sustainable development -sustainable use of land, water, energy and biological resources in development -impacts of agriculture and forestry activities on soil and aquatic ecosystems and biodiversity -effects of energy use and global climate change on development and sustainability -impacts of population growth and human activities on food and other essential resources for development -role of national and international agencies, and of international aid and trade arrangements in sustainable development -social and cultural contexts of sustainable development -role of education and public awareness in sustainable development -role of political and economic instruments in sustainable development -shortcomings of sustainable development and its alternatives.
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