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Analyzing the effects of socioeconomic, natural and landscape factors on PM2.5 concentrations from a spatial perspective 从空间角度分析社会经济、自然和景观因素对 PM2.5 浓度的影响
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05425-4
Jun Song, Chunlin Li, Yuanman Hu, Zaiping Xiong, Lujia Zhao, Zhenxing Li

PM2.5, as a major air pollutant, remains unclear as to what factors influence it and the magnitude of the influence. Ten influencing factors, including socioeconomic, natural and landscape indicators, were chosen, and the effects of these factors on PM2.5 concentration was examined through Pearson correlation analysis and the boosted regression tree model. The findings indicate that PM2.5 concentration was most affected by GDP, NDVI and precipitation. The GDP imposed the most notable positive effect in China. The temperature imposed the greatest negative effect in East China. Northeast, North and Northwest China were the most negatively affected by the NDVI. Southwest and South-Central China were the most negatively affected by the relative humidity. More than half of the areas were affected by the main positive effects of GDP and more than a third of the areas were affected by the main negative effects of RH. This study systematically studied the correlations between PM2.5 concentrations and their influencing factors from a spatial perspective over a long time series. The findings could contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing PM2.5 and offer a theoretical basis for zonal PM2.5 pollution management.

PM2.5 作为一种主要的空气污染物,其影响因素和影响程度尚不明确。本文选取了包括社会经济指标、自然指标和景观指标在内的 10 个影响因素,通过皮尔逊相关分析和增强回归树模型研究了这些因素对 PM2.5 浓度的影响。结果表明,PM2.5 浓度受 GDP、NDVI 和降水的影响最大。GDP 对中国的正向影响最为显著。气温对华东地区的负面影响最大。东北、华北和西北地区受 NDVI 的负面影响最大。西南和中南部受相对湿度的负面影响最大。超过一半的地区受到 GDP 的主要正面影响,超过三分之一的地区受到相对湿度的主要负面影响。这项研究从空间角度系统地研究了长时间序列中 PM2.5 浓度与其影响因素之间的相关性。研究结果有助于更全面地了解 PM2.5 的影响因素,并为分区 PM2.5 污染管理提供理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
Addressing the contradiction between water supply and demand: a study on multi-objective regional water resources optimization allocation 解决水资源供需矛盾:多目标区域水资源优化配置研究
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05214-z
Jingyi Chu, Zhaocai Wang, Xiaoguang Bao, Zhiyuan Yao, Xuefei Cui

As a result of economic development, population growth, accelerated urbanization and the frequent occurrence of extreme weather events, the contradiction between the supply and demand for water resources between regions has become increasingly acute. In order to solve the problem of regional water shortage and irrational utilization, the optimal allocation of water resources has become one of the research hotspots in recent years. In this study, firstly a multi-objective integrated allocation model of regional water resources is constructed by introducing social, economic, and environmental objective functions to address the complex uncertainties in the water resources system. Secondly, the standard whale algorithm is optimized and improved by introducing chaotic population initialization, chaotic convergence factor, adaptive Lévy flight and improved positive cosine mechanism. The model parameters, including the 2025 water resource demand and supply, pollutant discharge content, and unit water supply cost coefficients, are set by consulting the Shanxi Water Resources Bulletin 2022, the Shanxi Provincial Department of Water Resources, and the Report on the Work of the Shanxi Provincial Government 2023. Subsequently, the improved whale algorithm is utilized for the optimization of the predicted water resources for various target years in the future in the lower reaches of the Fen River in Shanxi Province, China. This ultimately yields optimized allocation results independently from both supply and demand sides. The experimental results demonstrate that the framework for water resource optimization using the improved whale algorithm is feasible, providing a reference scheme for regional multi-objective water resource optimization. Finally, the proposed policy recommendations emphasize the necessity of strengthening water diversion planning and management, promoting virtual water and water-saving initiatives, and highlighting water recycling and environmental protection in order to ensure the sustainable allocation of water resources in the downstream Fen River basin.

随着经济发展、人口增长、城市化进程加快以及极端天气事件频发,区域间水资源供需矛盾日益突出。为解决区域水资源短缺和不合理利用问题,水资源优化配置成为近年来的研究热点之一。本研究首先针对水资源系统的复杂不确定性,引入社会、经济和环境目标函数,构建了区域水资源多目标综合配置模型。其次,通过引入混沌种群初始化、混沌收敛因子、自适应莱维飞行和改进的正余弦机制,对标准鲸鱼算法进行了优化和改进。参考《2022 年山西省水资源公报》、《山西省水利厅工作报告》和《2023 年山西省政府工作报告》,设定模型参数,包括 2025 年水资源供需量、污染物排放量、单位供水成本系数等。随后,利用改进的鲸鱼算法对中国山西省汾河下游未来各目标年的水资源量进行预测优化。最终得出了供需双方独立的优化分配结果。实验结果表明,利用改进的鲸鱼算法进行水资源优化的框架是可行的,为区域多目标水资源优化提供了参考方案。最后,提出了政策建议,强调必须加强引水规划管理,推广虚拟水和节水举措,突出水循环利用和环境保护,以确保汾河下游流域水资源的可持续配置。
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引用次数: 0
Development of single and dual crop coefficients for drip-irrigated broccoli using weighing type field lysimeters in semi-arid environment 在半干旱环境中利用称重式田间溶液仪开发滴灌西兰花的单作物和双作物系数
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05416-5
Jitendra Rajput, Man Singh, K. Lal, Manoj Khanna, A. Sarangi, J. Mukherjee, Shrawan Singh, Dimple

Estimating crop evapotranspiration is critical in effective planning and management of irrigation systems. Accurate estimation of crop water use may aid in achieving economic and environmental benefits by optimizing water resources. Thus, the current investigation aimed to quantify crop evapotranspiration (ETc) & develop single (Kc) and dual crop coefficients for Rabi broccoli. Thus, a 2 years field study was conducted during Rabi 2016–17 and 2017–18 by employing weighing type field lysimeter in a semi-arid climatic condition. Results revealed that, seasonal broccoli ETc was 149 mm (mm) and 144 mm during 2016–2017 and 2017–2018 crop periods, respectively. The Kc values during Rabi 2016–17 were 0.68, 0.84, 1.04, and 0.94 for initial stage (IS), development stage (DS), mid-season stage (MS), and late season stage (LS), respectively. Similarly, in 2017–18, the Kc was found to be 0.67, 0.82, 1.03, and 0.93 during IS, DS, MS, and LS, respectively. In dual crop coefficient approach, the basal crop coefficient (Kcb) was 0.30, 0.66, 0.97 and 0.84 and the soil evaporation coefficient (Ke) was 0.42, 0.23, 0.18 and 0.23 for IS, DS, MS, and LS, respectively. While, during Rabi 2017–18, the Kcb was 0.30, 0.65, 0.98 and 0.85 and Ke found to be 0.41, 0.23, 0.18 and 0.22 for IS, DS, MS and LS, respectively. Study found that the developed crop coefficients were lesser than the food and agriculture organization (FAO) values and thus the precise crop water estimation can be possible utilizing the developed coefficients in the semi-arid climate. The developed regional broccoli crop coefficients may be utilized to improve water productivity in semi-arid environments through meticulous irrigation scheduling. The developed technological knowledge would lead to saving of precious irrigation water with optimal crop production and have environmental benefits by reducing the irrigation water need.

Graphical abstract

估算作物蒸散量对于有效规划和管理灌溉系统至关重要。准确估算作物用水量有助于通过优化水资源实现经济和环境效益。因此,目前的调查旨在量化作物蒸散量(ETc)及样本,并开发 Rabi 西兰花的单作物系数(Kc)和双作物系数。因此,在 2016-17 年和 2017-18 年的 Rabi 期间,在半干旱气候条件下采用称重式田间蒸渗仪进行了为期两年的田间研究。结果显示,在2016-2017年和2017-2018年作物期,季节性西兰花ETc分别为149毫米(mm)和144毫米(mm)。2016-17 年 Rabi 期间,初期(IS)、发育期(DS)、中期(MS)和后期(LS)的 Kc 值分别为 0.68、0.84、1.04 和 0.94。同样,在 2017-18 年,IS、DS、MS 和 LS 期的 Kc 分别为 0.67、0.82、1.03 和 0.93。在双作物系数法中,IS、DS、MS 和 LS 的基础作物系数(Kcb)分别为 0.30、0.66、0.97 和 0.84,土壤蒸发系数(Ke)分别为 0.42、0.23、0.18 和 0.23。而在 2017-18 年 Rabi 期间,IS、DS、MS 和 LS 的 Kcb 分别为 0.30、0.65、0.98 和 0.85,Ke 分别为 0.41、0.23、0.18 和 0.22。研究发现,所开发的作物系数小于联合国粮农组织(FAO)的数值,因此在半干旱气候条件下可以利用所开发的系数对作物水分进行精确估算。利用所开发的区域西兰花作物系数,可通过精细的灌溉调度提高半干旱环境下的水分生产率。所开发的技术知识将通过优化作物生产节约宝贵的灌溉用水,并通过减少灌溉用水需求对环境产生益处。
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引用次数: 0
Why is rural revitalization difficult to achieve? An in-context discussion of conceptual barriers to China’s 2018–2022 strategic plan 乡村振兴为何难以实现?中国2018-2022年战略规划的理念障碍内涵探讨
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05353-3
Isaac Sarfo, Jiajun Qiao, Li Lingyue, Zhu Qiankun, George Darko, Emmanuel Yeboah, Mohamed Abdallah Ahmed Alriah, Desmond Gagakuma, Dhekra Ben Amara

While rural revitalization strategies dominate public and scientific discourses, considerably less attention has been given to the key barriers that derail its full realization at the national level. This paper explores China’s rural revitalization pathway by evaluating the strategy’s four foundational pillars, and the key barriers that mar its success through expert judgement, a multicriteria decision analysis approach (i.e., Analytic Hierarchy Process), and review of existing literature. Findings put forth the following points (1) Key barriers influencing the full realization of China’s rural revitalization efforts include an ageing-population and labor shortage, income disparities between urban and rural areas, limited infrastructure and access to basic services, limited participation in governance processes, and land degradation/environmental issues (2) The critically weighted measures, highlighted by experts encapsulate support for rural industries, improved access to social services, balancing rural and urban development, land reform, and innovation (3) To revitalize rural China, ‘smart shrinkage’ is critical (4) In positive light, 'rural shrinkage' offers both direct and indirect benefits (5) The '4R value strategy' introduced presents a clear path for innovative decision- and place-making processes in rural settings. Standpoints promote equitable development and reduction of regional disparities through targeted interventions to address the key barriers identified.

尽管乡村振兴战略在公众和科学界的讨论中占据主导地位,但对阻碍其在国家层面全面实现的关键障碍的关注却少得多。本文通过专家判断、多标准决策分析方法(即层次分析法)和对现有文献的回顾,评估了中国乡村振兴战略的四大基础支柱以及阻碍其成功的关键障碍,从而探索了中国乡村振兴的路径。研究结果提出了以下几点 (1) 影响中国全面实现乡村振兴的主要障碍包括人口老龄化和劳动力短缺、城乡收入差距、基础设施和基本服务有限、对治理过程的参与有限以及土地退化/环境问题 (2) 专家们强调的关键权重措施包含了对乡村振兴的支持、(3) 要振兴中国农村,"巧妙收缩 "至关重要 (4) 从积极的角度看,"农村收缩 "既能带来直接效益,也能带来间接效益 (5) 所介绍的 "4R 价值战略 "为农村环境中的创新决策和地方决策过程提供了一条清晰的道路。通过采取有针对性的干预措施,消除已确定的主要障碍,从而促进公平发展和缩小地区差距。
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引用次数: 0
Energy transition policy, cash flow uncertainty and R&D expenditures of energy enterprises 能源转型政策、现金流不确定性和能源企业的研发支出
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05402-x
Yuyin Ma, Shuai Lu, Shouwei Li

To cope with risks of increasing climate changes and curb carbon emission, various policies have been implemented to facilitate energy transition in China. However, it remains unclear that whether the cash flow of energy enterprises is affected by energy transition policy and whether they invest more on R&D activities to transition. To answer these questions, we utilize a difference-in-differences method to detect the impact of the Peaking-Carbon-Dioxide-Emissions policy on the cash flow uncertainty of the energy enterprises and examine the interaction between it and R&D expenditures by using the sample of listed energy enterprises in China during 2008–2021. We find that the energy transition policy has a positive effect on the cash flow uncertainty of the energy enterprises, and the higher cash flow uncertainty after the policy further decreases the R&D expenditure of the energy enterprises. We also find that this negative role of the cash flow uncertainty is partially conducted by the reduction proportion of the long-term loan. In addition, the over-valued enterprises have stronger incentives to squeeze the expenses of R&D activities. Last, we capture the heterogeneity that the energy enterprises with less political connections and in more developed areas prefer prudent strategy management to maintain their investments in R&D activities.

为应对日益加剧的气候变化风险,抑制碳排放,中国实施了各种政策促进能源转型。然而,能源企业的现金流是否会受到能源转型政策的影响,以及他们是否会为转型而加大研发投入,这些问题仍不明确。为了回答这些问题,我们以 2008-2021 年中国上市能源企业为样本,利用差分法检测了二氧化碳排放削峰填谷政策对能源企业现金流不确定性的影响,并考察了其与研发支出之间的互动关系。我们发现,能源转型政策对能源企业的现金流不确定性有正向影响,而政策实施后现金流不确定性的增加又进一步降低了能源企业的研发支出。我们还发现,现金流不确定性的负向作用部分是由长期贷款比例的降低传导的。此外,估值过高的企业有更强的动机压缩研发活动的支出。最后,我们捕捉到了一种异质性,即政治关系较少且位于较发达地区的能源企业更倾向于审慎的战略管理,以维持其在研发活动中的投资。
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引用次数: 0
Green recycling of used motor oil and steel slag aggregate in concrete 混凝土中废机油和钢渣骨料的绿色回收利用
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05420-9
Hisham Qasrawi

Steel slags and used motor oil (UMO) are hazardous materials that are produced in high amounts and released into the environment by human activity. They adversely affect all types of life especially if they contaminate soil or ground when dumped. This research introduces a green clean safe sustainable efficient cheap method for recycling these materials. In the first step in this research, hazardous UMO is recycled as a concrete admixture. Previous research on UMO showed that the use of oil would result in higher air content in concrete, which in turn would result in a decrease in concrete strength. The research eliminates this problem by ensuring correct mixing procedures which will get rid of the increased air content. Hence, concrete strength can be maintained in the structure. The research suggests two simple economic methods to solve the problem. The first is to use an alternative mixing method of concrete to use UMO as a plasticizer without affecting the strength. Enhancement of the strength of concrete was attained by optimizing mixing time. The second method is to recycle steel slag aggregate (SSA) in concrete as coarse aggregate by replacing a certain proportion of natural coarse aggregate. The green use of SSA in concrete was beneficial in improving the properties of concrete containing UMO and was a sustainable solution for reducing the destruction of the environment caused by the depletion of natural resources when natural coarse aggregate is used. The change in mixing method and the use of SSA allowed the recycling of higher amounts of UMO without adversely affecting the fresh, hardened, or transitional plastic properties. Three states of concrete were studied in the research: fresh, plastic transitional, and hardened states. The study showed that the slump test alone is not sufficient to describe the workability of concrete containing UMO. In the transitional plastic state, setting time, bleeding, and finishability were studied. Results show that UMO and SSA can safely be used in concrete without adversely affecting its properties. The initial and final setting times increased by an average of 11 and 22 min respectively. Finishability tests show that the surface smoothness was excellent for UMO mixes containing 1.5% for SSA concretes and 1% for SSA-free mixes. The use of the modified mixing method reduced air content by about 3%. The use of SSA and the modified mixing improved the strength reduction of UMO concretes allowing dosages of about 0.8% to be safely used without losing compressive strength and 1.25% without losing tensile strength. No shrinkage problems are observed in all mixes. Lastly, a special study showed that the combined use will also reduce the overall material direct costs of about 5$ per cubic meter of concrete. Recycling UMO by this method would eliminate the CO2 emissions produced by the firms that recycle UMO.

钢渣和废机油 (UMO) 是人类活动产生并大量排放到环境中的有害物质。它们会对各种生物产生不利影响,尤其是在倾倒时污染土壤或地面。本研究介绍了一种绿色、清洁、安全、可持续、高效、廉价的回收这些材料的方法。本研究的第一步是回收利用有害的 UMO 作为混凝土外加剂。以前对 UMO 的研究表明,使用油会导致混凝土中的空气含量增加,进而导致混凝土强度降低。这项研究通过确保正确的混合程序来消除增加的空气含量,从而解决了这一问题。因此,结构中的混凝土强度得以保持。研究提出了两种简单经济的方法来解决这一问题。第一种是在不影响强度的情况下,使用另一种混凝土搅拌方法,将 UMO 用作增塑剂。通过优化搅拌时间,提高了混凝土的强度。第二种方法是在混凝土中回收钢渣骨料(SSA)作为粗骨料,取代一定比例的天然粗骨料。在混凝土中绿色使用 SSA 有利于改善含 UMO 混凝土的性能,也是一种可持续的解决方案,可减少使用天然粗骨料时因自然资源枯竭而造成的环境破坏。混合方法的改变和 SSA 的使用允许回收更多的 UMO,而不会对新鲜、硬化或过渡塑性产生不利影响。研究中对混凝土的三种状态进行了研究:新拌状态、塑性过渡状态和硬化状态。研究表明,仅用坍落度试验不足以描述含有 UMO 的混凝土的工作性。在塑性过渡状态下,研究了凝结时间、泌水和收光性。结果表明,在混凝土中安全使用 UMO 和 SSA 不会对其性能产生不利影响。初凝时间和终凝时间分别平均延长了 11 分钟和 22 分钟。收光性测试表明,含有 1.5% SSA 的 UMO 混凝土和含有 1% SSA 的无 SSA 混凝土的表面平滑度都非常好。使用改良混合法可降低约 3% 的空气含量。使用 SSA 和改进的搅拌方法可改善 UMO 混凝土的强度降低情况,使其在不降低抗压强度的情况下可安全使用约 0.8%的剂量,在不降低抗拉强度的情况下可安全使用 1.25%的剂量。所有混合料均未出现收缩问题。最后,一项专门研究表明,综合利用 UMO 还可减少每立方米混凝土约 5 美元的材料直接成本。通过这种方法回收利用 UMO 将消除回收利用 UMO 的公司所产生的二氧化碳排放量。
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引用次数: 0
Mathematical models proposed for calculating the utilization magnitudes and utilization proportions of renewable energies for satisfying the building energy requirement 为计算满足建筑能源需求的可再生能源利用率和利用比例而提出的数学模型
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05409-4
Fang’ai Chi, Kun Gao, Liping He

With the progressive realization of fuel-based energies replaced by renewable energies, the electricity generation based on 100% renewable energy will eventually achieve in the future. Therefore, before realization of the 100% renewable electricity generation, it is of importance to analyze and optimize the renewable energy system mix in advance. Via power footprint, the mathematical models used for evaluation of the 100% renewable electricity generation in each province/municipality of China towards satisfaction of the building energy requirement were created. The proposed mathematical models can be applied to evaluate the utilization magnitudes and utilization proportions of target energies, in any given year before or the year that the 100% renewable electricity generation is realized. And, based on the proposed mathematical models, the energy transfer trace (i.e., power footprint) from renewable energies to electricity used in the buildings can be able to be explored. Moreover, the optimum exploitation and utilization methods for hydro energy, wind energy and solar energy were proposed in this work, aiming at the energy conversion efficiency improvement. The research results are expected to provide the policy makers with some useful guidelines and references.

随着可再生能源逐步实现对燃料能源的替代,未来将最终实现 100% 的可再生能源发电。因此,在实现 100% 可再生能源发电之前,提前分析和优化可再生能源系统组合具有重要意义。通过电力足迹,建立了用于评估中国各省市 100%可再生能源发电满足建筑能耗要求的数学模型。所提出的数学模型可用于评估在实现 100% 可再生能源发电的前一年或当年的目标能源利用率和利用比例。此外,基于所提出的数学模型,还可以探索从可再生能源到建筑物用电的能量转移轨迹(即电力足迹)。此外,这项工作还提出了水能、风能和太阳能的最佳开发利用方法,旨在提高能源转换效率。研究成果有望为决策者提供一些有用的指导和参考。
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引用次数: 0
Proposal for a social certification model for agriculture in Latin America aligned with the sustainable development goals 关于拉丁美洲符合可持续发展目标的农业社会认证模式的建议
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05343-5
Javier Eugenio García de Alba Verduzco, Samuel Borges Barbosa, Blanca Catalina Ramírez Hernández, Leila Dal Moro, Luis Enrique Lomelí Rodríguez, Luciana Londero Brandli, André Borchardt Deggau, Maria Gabriela Mendonça Peixoto, Angélica Isabel García Navarro, Simone Sehnem, Viviane dos Guimarães Alvim Nunes, José Baltazar Salgueirinho Osório de Andrade Guerra

Considering the certifications for family farming, several types of certification are used in Latin America, focusing on social and environmental issues. This study seeks to analyze the social, environmental, and health certifications in Mexico and Brazil. The study contemplates a qualitative approach, using as a technique a systematic literature review on the effectiveness of agricultural private certification in developing countries (Brazil and Mexico) published between 1990 and 2016. The research intended to survey existing certifications considering categories that had not been addressed in the literature. Responsible production, and social justice factors were taken into account and it was important to have as a parameter the main certifications already existing in the Latin American context. This survey also assessed the certifications concerning their alignment with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). As a result of the research, it was possible to evaluate the social and environmental certifications for agriculture applied in Brazil and Mexico. After assessing the certifications, a framework of guidelines for certification for family farming in Latin America was structured, supported by the UN SDGs, and managed by universities. This proposal assists in achieving the SDGs proposed by the UN, mainly contemplating SDG 2 “Sustainable Agriculture” and SDG 12 “Responsible Production and Consumption”, and will also allow certifying products in a cheaper way for farmers. As future implications, the study assists in mapping existing certifications that serve as a guide for the use of producers.

考虑到家庭农业的认证,拉丁美洲使用了几种类型的认证,侧重于社会和环境问题。本研究旨在分析墨西哥和巴西的社会、环境和健康认证。本研究考虑采用定性方法,将 1990 年至 2016 年间发表的关于发展中国家(巴西和墨西哥)农业私营认证有效性的系统文献综述作为研究技术。研究旨在调查文献中未涉及的现有认证类别。负责任的生产和社会公正因素都被考虑在内,重要的是将拉丁美洲范围内已有的主要认证作为参数。这项调查还对认证与联合国可持续发展目标(SDG)的一致性进行了评估。通过研究,可以对巴西和墨西哥的农业社会和环境认证进行评估。在对认证进行评估后,在联合国可持续发展目标的支持下,构建了拉丁美洲家庭农业认证指导框架,并由大学进行管理。这项建议有助于实现联合国提出的可持续发展目标,主要是考虑到可持续发展目标 2 "可持续农业 "和可持续发展目标 12 "负责任的生产和消费",还能以更便宜的方式为农民提供产品认证。作为对未来的影响,本研究有助于绘制现有认证图,作为生产者使用的指南。
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引用次数: 0
Historical environmental Kuznets curve for the USA and the UK: cyclical environmental Kuznets curve evidence 美国和英国的历史环境库兹涅茨曲线:周期性环境库兹涅茨曲线证据
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05320-y
Tolga Omay, Julide Yildirim, Nazmiye Balta-Ozkan
<p>Human activities, including population growth, industrialization, and urbanization, have increasingly impacted the environment. Despite the benefits of economic growth to individual welfare, its negative environmental consequences necessitate a thorough assessment. The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC), positing an inverted U-shaped relationship between income per capita and environmental degradation, has been extensively studied since its proposition by Grossman and Krueger (Environmental impacts of a North American free trade agreement, National Bureau of Economic Research working paper, 1991. https://doi.org/10.3386/w3914). However, empirical evidence on the validity and shape of the EKC varies due to methodological differences, country-specific dynamics, and other factors. Examining the historical growth paths of individual countries helps explain the mixed findings in empirical EKC research. Long-term data allow researchers to determine the EKC's shape and turning points, aiding policymakers in devising appropriate environmental policies for each economic growth cycle within the framework of global environmental governance. Accordingly, this study contributes to the literature by taking a historical perspective on the EKC, focusing specifically on the United States and the United Kingdom. Drawing on data spanning from 1850, we employ advanced econometric techniques, including fractional frequency flexible Fourier form Dickey–Fuller-type unit root tests and structural breaks unit root tests, to overcome limitations of traditional linearized EKC estimations. Moreover, the classical polynomial regression approach is employed to model the long-term cycles based on the scatterplot inspection of per capita carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) and per capita GNP series. Contrary to conventional expectations, our empirical findings do not support the existence of a clear inverted U-shaped EKC relationship between CO<sub>2</sub> emissions and economic growth for either country. Instead, our analysis reveals the presence of multiple regimes, indicating a cyclical pattern where economic growth affects environmental quality with varying severity over time. Furthermore, we demonstrate proper modeling techniques for the EKC, highlighting the importance of identification and misspecification tests. Our study identifies cyclical EKC patterns for both the UK and the USA, with the UK exhibiting two cycles and the USA exhibiting three, shaped by varying economic, social, and technological contexts. By revealing the nuances of the economic growth-environmental degradation nexus for these early developer countries, our study provides valuable insights for policymakers seeking to devise evidence-based and environmentally sustainable growth policies within the framework of global environmental governance. These findings underscore the importance of considering historical context and structural changes when analyzing the EKC, providing valuable insights for policymak
人类活动,包括人口增长、工业化和城市化,对环境的影响与日俱增。尽管经济增长给个人福利带来了好处,但其对环境的负面影响也需要进行全面评估。自格罗斯曼和克鲁格提出环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)(《北美自由贸易协定的环境影响》,美国国家经济研究局工作文件,1991 年,https://doi.org/10.3386/w3914)以来,人们对该曲线进行了广泛的研究,认为人均收入与环境退化之间存在倒 U 型关系。然而,由于方法上的差异、具体国家的动态变化以及其他因素,有关 EKC 的有效性和形态的经验证据各不相同。研究单个国家的历史增长路径有助于解释 EKC 实证研究中好坏参半的结论。长期数据使研究人员能够确定 EKC 的形状和转折点,从而帮助决策者在全球环境治理框架内为每个经济增长周期制定适当的环境政策。因此,本研究以美国和英国为重点,从历史角度研究 EKC,为相关文献做出了贡献。利用 1850 年以来的数据,我们采用了先进的计量经济学技术,包括分数频率灵活的傅里叶形式 Dickey-Fuller 型单位根检验和结构断裂单位根检验,以克服传统线性化 EKC 估计的局限性。此外,基于人均二氧化碳(CO2)和人均国民生产总值(GNP)序列的散点图检验,我们采用了经典的多项式回归方法来建立长期周期模型。与传统预期相反,我们的实证研究结果并不支持两个国家的二氧化碳排放与经济增长之间存在明显的倒 U 型 EKC 关系。相反,我们的分析揭示了多重制度的存在,表明经济增长对环境质量的影响随着时间的推移而呈现不同程度的周期性模式。此外,我们还展示了 EKC 的正确建模技术,强调了识别和误判检验的重要性。我们的研究确定了英国和美国的周期性 EKC 模式,其中英国表现出两个周期,美国表现出三个周期,这是由不同的经济、社会和技术背景决定的。通过揭示这些早期发展国家经济增长与环境退化之间关系的细微差别,我们的研究为寻求在全球环境治理框架内制定循证和环境可持续增长政策的政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解。这些发现强调了在分析 EKC 时考虑历史背景和结构变化的重要性,为旨在制定适应性和可持续经济增长战略的决策者提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The green innovation effect of digital transformation —evidence from the Chinese experience 数字化转型的绿色创新效应--来自中国经验的证据
IF 4.9 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-05426-3
Yinglin Qian, Jin Chen

The global commitment to carbon neutrality signals the decline of the traditional development paradigm since the Industrial Revolution and the emergence of a new green development model. This study analyzes data from Chinese listed companies between 2011 and 2022 to explore the impact of digital transformation on corporate green innovation.Our findings reveal that higher levels of digital transformation significantly enhance corporate green innovation. This influence operates through mechanisms such as improved corporate information transparency, better internal control quality, and increased absorptive capacity. Notably, the green innovation benefits of digital transformation are more pronounced in state-owned enterprises and heavily polluting industries compared to non-state-owned and less polluting industries. Moreover, digital transformation leads to substantial environmental benefits, particularly by significantly reducing corporate carbon emissions over time. These conclusions provide empirical evidence for assessing the green innovation effects of digital transformation and for developing targeted digital empowerment policies to support corporate green and low-carbon transitions.

全球对碳中和的承诺标志着工业革命以来传统发展模式的衰落和新型绿色发展模式的兴起。本研究分析了2011年至2022年间中国上市公司的数据,探讨了数字化转型对企业绿色创新的影响。这种影响通过提高企业信息透明度、改善内部控制质量和增强吸收能力等机制发挥作用。值得注意的是,与非国有企业和污染较少的行业相比,数字化转型对国有企业和污染严重行业的绿色创新益处更为明显。此外,数字化转型还带来了巨大的环境效益,特别是随着时间的推移,企业的碳排放量大幅减少。这些结论为评估数字化转型的绿色创新效应以及制定有针对性的数字化赋能政策以支持企业的绿色和低碳转型提供了经验证据。
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引用次数: 0
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Environment, Development and Sustainability
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