Unraveling the unusual 22 November 2020 earthquake (Mw 3.5) in the Nile Delta Hinge Zone: Origin and tectonic implications

Abstract

On November 22, 2020, a moment magnitude of Mw 3.5 earthquake struck the highly populated Nile Delta. This event marked the first recorded earthquake in this area. We employed the polarity of P and S wave first motions, as well as SH and SV amplitudes and their respective ratios (SH/P and SV/SH), to constrain the focal mechanism solution. Furthermore, considering Brune's circular source model, kinematic source parameters were estimated through spectral analysis of available and reliable seismic data. The obtained solution reveals an oblique-slip fault mechanism, characterized by strike, dip, and rake angles of 341º, 69º, and -47º, respectively. Additionally, the two fault planes exhibit trends aligned with the E-W and NNW directions. This normal fault mechanism with a strike component aligns with previously identified events in various active areas of Egypt, indicating a dominant extensional stress regime. The trend/plunge of the P and T axes are determined to be 299º/46º and 42º/13º, respectively. Moreover, the NE trending of the T axis agrees well with the current extension stress field prevalent along the eastern border of Egypt. The average seismic moment and moment magnitude values for P and SH waves are estimated to be 1.86 × 10¹⁴ Nm, and 3.5, respectively. Furthermore, the average source values of radius and stress drop are calculated to be 304 m, and 29 bar, respectively. Through a comparative and comprehensive analysis of fault mechanism solutions in the Nile Delta region and its surroundings, we have concluded that the fault structures in the Hinge Zone and Cairo-Suez Shear Zone exhibit similarities. This finding provides evidence that the geodynamic processes and fault style are identical. In conclusion, the provided information contributes to our understanding of the seismotectonic characteristics and earthquake hazard in the epicentral region. Moreover, this study serves as a motivation for future site response and seismic hazard analyses based on a scenario-based approach.