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Discrimination of seismic event near the North Korean nuclear test site (January-March 2022) using multi-station P/S spectral ratios 利用多站P/S谱比识别朝鲜核试验场附近地震事件(2022年1 - 3月
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10356-2
Bo-Han Wang, Lian-Feng Zhao, Xiao-Bi Xie, Xi He, Yong Zhao, Zhen-Xing Yao

Between January and March 2022, fifteen shallow seismic events occurred near the Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site in North Korea. These events raised concerns about their source nature, particularly in light of satellite observations suggesting renewed activity at the site. Here, we analyzed vertical-component seismograms recorded at 38 broadband stations with epicentral distances ranging from 70 to 600 km. Regional phases, Pn, Pg, Sn, and Lg, were used to calculate P/S spectral amplitude ratios. The network-averaged P/S-type spectral ratios were computed at a reference distance of 300 km to distinguish potential explosions from natural tectonic earthquakes. The spectral-ratio characteristics of all 15 shallow events closely align with those of tectonic earthquakes. The shallow events can be clearly separated from the underground-explosion population. Therefore, the 15 seismic events are likely to be natural tectonic earthquakes resulting from local stress imbalances.

• Multi-station P/S spectral ratios were used to identify 15 small-magnitude events near the North Korean nuclear test site.

• The seismic events are characterized by tectonic earthquakes, which are discriminated from historical underground nuclear tests.

2022年1月至3月期间,朝鲜丰溪里核试验场附近发生了15次浅层地震事件。这些事件引起了人们对其来源性质的关切,特别是考虑到卫星观测表明该地点重新出现了活动。在这里,我们分析了38个宽带台站记录的垂直分量地震记录,震中距离从70到600公里不等。区域相位Pn、Pg、Sn和Lg用于计算P/S谱幅值比。在300公里的参考距离上计算了网络平均P/ s型谱比,以区分潜在爆炸和自然构造地震。所有15次浅层地震的谱比特征与构造地震的谱比特征基本一致。浅层爆炸事件可以明显地与地下爆炸人群区分开。因此,这15次地震事件很可能是局部应力不平衡引起的自然构造地震。•使用多站P/S光谱比来识别朝鲜核试验场附近的15个小震级事件。•地震事件以构造地震为特征,区别于历史上的地下核试验。
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引用次数: 0
Tectonic consequences and source characterization of the December 27, 2022 earthquake on the western coast of the Gulf of Suez 2022年12月27日苏伊士湾西海岸地震的构造后果和震源特征
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10351-7
Shaimaa A. M. Khair, Hamada Saadalla, Hazem Badreldin, Emad K. Mohamed, Medhat El Rayess, Iman F. Abu El-Nader, Sherif M. Elhady, Ahmed Shalaby

On December 27, 2022, a moderate earthquake (ML = 5.0) struck the western coast of the Gulf of Suez at 28.03° N and 33.47° E. The event was felt up to 500 km away and was recorded by the Egyptian National Seismological Network (ENSN) and the Egyptian National Strong Motion Network (ENSAN). The epicenter was located about 53 km from a previous ML = 5.1 earthquake that occurred in June 2013. This study determines the source parameters, focal mechanism, and moment tensor of the December 27, 2022 earthquake to better understand its rupture characteristics and tectonic context. Displacement spectra were analyzed to estimate the long-period spectral level and corner frequency, from which the seismic moment was derived (1.96 × 102⁰–1.44 × 1022 dyne·cm) and converted to moment magnitude. The estimated source radius ranged from 136 to 254 m, with stress drop values between 2.3 MPa and 61.3 MPa. The corner frequency, inversely related to rupture duration, varied from 5.2 Hz to 9.8 Hz. Moment tensor analysis of the mainshock and three aftershocks (ML ≈ 4.0) revealed predominantly normal faulting with minor strike-slip components, aligned mainly along NNW–SSE and NW–SE directions. This mechanism is consistent with the regional tectonic framework and previously reported fault structures of the Gulf of Suez. The results contribute valuable information for updating seismic hazard assessments in this economically strategic region.

2022年12月27日,埃及国家地震台网(ENSN)和埃及国家强震台网(ENSAN)记录了在北纬28.03°和东经33.47°的苏伊士湾西海岸发生的一次5.0级中等地震,500公里外都有震感。震中距离2013年6月发生的5.1级地震约53公里。本研究确定了2022年12月27日地震的震源参数、震源机制和矩张量,以更好地了解其破裂特征和构造背景。分析位移谱以估计长周期谱水平和角频率,从中导出地震矩(1.96 × 102⁰-1.44 × 1022达因·cm)并转换为矩级。震源半径在136 ~ 254 m之间,应力降值在2.3 ~ 61.3 MPa之间。转角频率与破裂持续时间成反比,在5.2 Hz到9.8 Hz之间变化。主震和3次余震(ML≈4.0)的矩张量分析显示,断层以正断层为主,走滑分量较小,主要沿NNW-SSE和NW-SE方向走滑。这一机制与苏伊士湾的区域构造格架和先前报道的断裂构造相一致。研究结果为更新这一经济战略地区的地震灾害评估提供了有价值的信息。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial –temporal variations of seismicity parameters in vicinity of Mw 6.2 murmuri earthquake region in Zagros, Iran, on August 18, 2014 2014年8月18日伊朗扎格罗斯6.2级murmuri震区地震活动性参数时空变化
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-12-13 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10352-6
Muhammed Hossein Mousavi, Parva Sadeghi Alavijeh, Amir Talebi

In this research, we used the 2006–2024 seismic catalog from the Iranian Seismological Center for a comprehensive analysis of the seismicity parameters (b -value, the magnitude of completeness (MC), Fractal Dimension (DC), Seismic Moment (M0), and seismic quiescence (Z -value)) in the vicinity of Mw 6.2 Murmuri Earthquake of August 18, 2014, in the Zagros region of Iran. The MC exhibits spatial heterogeneity, with values ranging from 2.0–2.5 near Dehloran to 3.0–3.5 near the Mountain Front Fault (M.F.F.), reflecting detection challenges in complex fault zones. Spatial b -value distribution indicates low values near the mainshock epicenter and M.F.F., suggesting high-stress accumulation. The DC -value shows higher values near the epicenter, reflecting clustered seismicity. An orthogonal regression analysis reveals a strong negative correlation (r = -0.71) between b-value and DC -value in the region. The Z -value distribution in early 2014, using a 2-year time window, identifies significant quiescence near the epicenter, a precursor to the mainshock, transitioning to post-event activation. The spatial distribution of Z -values exhibits a complex pattern, with lower values (z ≈ − 1.0 to − 1.5) concentrated near the Murmuri epicenter, indicating a moderate decrease in seismic activity relative to the reference period. These findings highlight the M.F.F. as a high-hazard zone, with integrated parameter analysis enhancing precursory detection and post-event stress mapping.

在这项研究中,我们使用了伊朗地震中心2006-2024年的地震目录,对2014年8月18日伊朗扎格罗斯地区6.2级Murmuri地震附近的地震活动性参数(b值、完整震级(MC)、分形维数(DC)、地震矩(M0)和地震静止(Z值)进行了综合分析。在Dehloran附近,MC值为2.0 ~ 2.5,而在Mountain Front Fault (M.F.F.)附近,MC值为3.0 ~ 3.5,这反映了复杂断裂带的探测挑战。空间b值分布表明,主震震中和中线附近的b值较低,表明应力积累较高。直流值在震中附近较高,反映了聚集性地震活动。正交回归分析显示,该地区的b值与DC值呈显著负相关(r = -0.71)。2014年初的Z值分布,使用了2年的时间窗口,确定了震中附近的明显平静,这是主震的前兆,过渡到事件后的激活。Z值的空间分布呈现出复杂的格局,较低值(Z≈−1.0 ~−1.5)集中在Murmuri震中附近,表明相对于参考时段,地震活动有所减弱。这些发现强调了M.F.F.是一个高危险区,综合参数分析增强了预警检测和事后应力制图。
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引用次数: 0
Deterministic and probabilistic seismic hazard assessment and strain evaluation along the Guwahati–Siliguri Pipeline 古瓦哈蒂-西里古里管道沿线确定性和概率地震危险性评估及应变评估
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10349-1
Olympa Baro, Sushma Brahma

The high pressure Guwahati–Siliguri Pipeline (GSPL) passes through the densely populated Guwahati city in northeast India. This study evaluates response of the GSPL segment within Guwahati city with a focus on the effect of seismic wave induced failure. Seismic sources within a 500 km radius of the Guwahati city are identified and classified into four seismic source regions of (1) Shillong Seismogenic Zone (SSZ), (2) Indo-Burmese Orogenic Front (IBOF), (3) Bengal Deltaic Seismic Block (BDSB), and (4) Eastern Himalayan Seismotectonic Belt (EHSB). The b-values are 1.00 ± 0.03 (SSZ), 1.03 ± 0.02 (IBOF), 0.66 ± 0.06 (BDSB), and 0.93 ± 0.02 (EHSB), indicating elevated seismic activity in BDSB. Deterministic Seismic Hazard Assessment (DSHA) reveal Oldham fault as the source for high level of ground shaking. Peak Ground Accelerations at bedrock level (PGAb) obtained from DSHA range between 0.219 g to 0.239 g. Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) results reveal that for 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years the PGAb range between 0.202 g to 0.242 g. At 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years the PGAb range between 0.126 g to 0.146 g. Hazard curves identify Kopili fault as the contributor for high levels of ground motion at Guwahati city. Further, the study shows that the cumulative strain experienced by the GSPL as a result of tension against axial strain due to seismic wave passage remains below the allowable limit of 3% for worst case scenario, 2% probability of exceedance in 50 years as well as 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years.

高压古瓦哈提-西里古里管道(GSPL)穿过印度东北部人口稠密的古瓦哈提市。本研究对古瓦哈提市GSPL段的响应进行了评价,重点研究了地震波诱发破坏的影响。将古瓦哈提市周边500 km范围内的震源划分为4个震源区(1)西隆发震带(SSZ)、(2)印缅造山带(IBOF)、(3)孟加拉三角洲地震块(BDSB)和(4)东喜马拉雅地震构造带(EHSB)。b值分别为1.00±0.03 (SSZ)、1.03±0.02 (IBOF)、0.66±0.06 (BDSB)和0.93±0.02 (EHSB),表明BDSB地震活动加剧。确定性地震危险性评估(DSHA)揭示了Oldham断层是高强度地震动的震源。从DSHA得到的基岩水平峰值地面加速度(PGAb)在0.219 g到0.239 g之间。概率地震危险性评价(PSHA)结果表明,在50年超过概率为2%的情况下,PGAb范围在0.202 g ~ 0.242 g之间。在10%的概率超过50年,PGAb范围在0.126 g至0.146 g之间。危险曲线确定Kopili断层是古瓦哈提市高水平地面运动的贡献者。此外,研究表明,由于地震波通过,GSPL由于轴向应变的拉力而经历的累积应变仍然低于最坏情况下3%的允许极限,50年后超过2%的概率和50年后超过10%的概率。
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引用次数: 0
InSAR coseismic deformation, fault slip inversion and coulomb stress evolution of the Xizang Dingri earthquake on January 7, 2025, China 2025年1月7日西藏定日地震InSAR同震形变、断层滑动反演及库仑应力演化
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10350-8
Gang Yang, Yanhong Zha, Song Yu, Dongning Lei, Qing Hu, Jianchao Wu

On January 7, 2025, an Ms 6.8 earthquake struck Dingri County, Shigatse, Tibet Autonomous Region, causing severe casualties and property losses. This study utilized Sentinel-1 satellite data and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) technology to obtain the co-seismic surface deformation field, invert the fine geometric parameters and slip distribution of the seismogenic fault, and calculate regional co-seismic Coulomb stress changes. Results show that both ascending and descending orbit radar satellites captured the co-seismic deformation, with a field range of 160 km × 100 km and surface rupture of the seismogenic fault. The maximum Line-of-Sight (LOS) deformations were -1.73 m (ascending) and -1.26 m (descending), while azimuth deformations reached -1.11 m and -1.10 m, respectively. Three-dimensional deformation revealed significant subsidence (1.69 m vertical) on the west-side hanging wall and uplift (0.22 m max) on the east-side footwall, indicating normal fault movement along the Dengmocuo Fault. Inversion constrained by InSAR data showed the fault is 32 km long, 14 km wide, with a strike of 187°, dip angle of 56°, and slip angle of -68°, rupturing mainly at 0–16 km depth. The maximum slip was 3.93 m, seismic moment 4.03 × 101⁹ N·m, and moment magnitude Mw 7.04. More than 80 aftershocks with M ≥ 3.0 near the Dengmocuo fault were mainly caused by the increase in Coulomb stress caused by the Dingri Mw7.04 earthquake. Considering the influence of historical earthquakes and background tectonic stress, the Coulomb stress change value of the Dingjie County seat will increase by 0.01 MPa after 2047, indicating the possibility of earthquakes occurring. The increase in Coulomb stress change value in the county seat of Gangba is greater than 0.3 MPa, indicating a high possibility of earthquake occurrence.

2025年1月7日,西藏自治区日喀则定日县发生6.8级地震,造成重大人员伤亡和财产损失。利用Sentinel-1卫星数据和干涉合成孔径雷达(InSAR)技术获取同震地表变形场,反演发震断层精细几何参数和滑动分布,计算区域同震库仑应力变化。结果表明,上升轨道和下降轨道雷达卫星均捕捉到同震形变,形变范围为160 km × 100 km,地表有发震断裂。最大视距(LOS)变形为-1.73 m(上升)和-1.26 m(下降),方位角变形分别为-1.11 m和-1.10 m。三维变形显示西侧上盘明显下沉(垂直方向1.69 m),东侧下盘最大隆升(0.22 m),显示登模错断层正断层运动。InSAR数据约束反演显示,该断层长32 km,宽14 km,走向187°,倾角56°,滑移角-68°,断裂主要发生在0 ~ 16 km深度。最大滑移量3.93 m,地震矩4.03 × 101 N·m,矩震级Mw 7.04。登模错断裂带附近发生了80多次M≥3.0级余震,主要是由定日Mw7.04地震引起的库仑应力增大引起的。考虑历史地震和背景构造应力的影响,2047年后定节县城库仑应力变化值将增加0.01 MPa,表明有发生地震的可能。冈坝县城库仑应力变化值增量大于0.3 MPa,表明发生地震的可能性较大。
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引用次数: 0
Source and rupture properties of the 23 April 2025 Mw 6.3 Silivri High-Kumburgaz basin earthquake threatening İstanbul, NW Türkiye 2025年4月23日威胁İstanbul, NW <s:1>西里夫里-库姆布尔加兹盆地的6.3 Mw地震的震源和破裂特性
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10342-8
Tuna Eken, Tuncay Taymaz, Seda Yolsal-Çevikbilen, Tahir Serkan Irmak, Ceyhun Erman, Berkan Özkan, Buse Turunçtur, Metin Kahraman

The Main Marmara Fault (MMF), the westernmost segment of the North Anatolian Fault Zone (NAFZ), constitutes a prominent seismic gap beneath the Sea of Marmara, Türkiye. On 23 April 2025, a moderate earthquake of Mw 6.3 occurred offshore Silivri-Kumburgaz, at the transitional zone between the creeping Central Basin and the locked Kumburgaz segment. The present work provides a comprehensive investigation of the source properties, rupture complexity, and seismotectonic context of the 23 April 2025 Mw 6.3 Silivri High-Kumburgaz Basin earthquake and the subsequent aftershock activity. A combination of the advanced centroid moment tensor (CMT), finite-fault slip inversions, and precise relocations of the aftershock enabled to primarily resolve source and rupture properties, and to evaluate the co- and post-seismic deformation associated to the mainshock along the MMF. Moment tensor inversions performed on local, regional, and/or teleseismic data consistently indicate a dominantly right-lateral strike-slip rupture with a slight normal component. The spatiotemporal evolution of rupture kinematics, as inferred from the finite fault inversions suggests a bilateral co-seismic displacement for the 2025 earthquake that terminated toward the west, where a documented aseismic creep regime presumably reduces a substantial amount of stress. The observed post-seismic deformation, as identified by precise relocations of the aftershock sequence, indicates a distinct eastward propagation within the initial 24 h, extending up to approximately 20 km east from the epicenter of the mainshock. We observe that the mainshock nucleates within a low–high Vs transition zone between the partially creeping Central Basin and the locked Kumburgaz segment of the MMF. This implies the moderate mechanical strength of rocks can enable these transition zones as ideal spots where large crustal earthquakes nucleate. Our study favors an elevated probability of a future, large earthquake (M7 +), which could potentially pose a significant threat to the mega-city of Istanbul as the recent Mw 6.3 mainshock may have led to an increased stress on the locked part of the segment remained quiescent since 1766.

马尔马拉主断层(MMF)是北安那托利亚断裂带(NAFZ)的最西端,构成了土耳其马尔马拉海下方的一个突出的地震缺口。2025年4月23日,siilivri -Kumburgaz近海发生了6.3兆瓦的中等地震,位于爬行的中央盆地和锁定的Kumburgaz段之间的过渡地带。本文对2025年4月23日西里夫里高库姆布尔加兹盆地6.3 Mw地震及其余震活动的震源性质、破裂复杂性和地震构造背景进行了全面研究。先进的质心矩张量(CMT)、有限断层滑移反演和精确的余震重新定位相结合,能够主要解决震源和破裂特性,并评估沿MMF方向与主震相关的共震和震后变形。对局部、区域和/或远震数据进行的矩张量反演一致表明,主要是右侧走滑破裂,有轻微的正常成分。从有限断层反演中推断,断裂运动学的时空演变表明,2025年地震的双边同震位移向西终止,在那里记录的地震蠕变状态可能减少了大量的应力。通过对余震序列的精确重新定位,观测到的震后变形表明,在最初的24小时内,震源向东传播,从主震震中向东延伸约20公里。我们观察到,主震在部分爬行的中央盆地和闭锁的Kumburgaz段之间的低-高Vs过渡区内成核。这意味着岩石的中等机械强度可以使这些过渡带成为大地壳地震成核的理想地点。我们的研究倾向于未来发生大地震(M7 +)的可能性增加,这可能对超大型城市伊斯坦布尔构成重大威胁,因为最近发生的6.3 Mw主震可能导致自1766年以来一直处于静止状态的板块锁定部分的应力增加。
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引用次数: 0
Near-source attenuation of foreshocks preceding the 2010 El Mayor-Cucapah, Baja California, Mexico earthquake (Mw7.2) 2010年墨西哥下加利福尼亚El Mayor-Cucapah地震前前震的近源衰减(Mw7.2)
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10335-7
Raúl R. Castro, Carlos E. Reinoza, Favio Cruz-Hernández

We used accelerograms from foreshocks recorded by the closest strong-motion stations to the epicentral location of the 2010 El Mayor-Cucapah earthquake (Mw7.2) to estimate S-wave near-source attenuation and to investigate the spatial–temporal evolution of the spectral decay parameter kappa (κ). We found that κ estimated from the foreshocks has significantly higher values compared with those estimated using the mainshock recordings. Since κ is inversely proportional to the quality factor Q and this may vary depending on the state of stress and the presence of fluids, this observation indicates that Q was higher in the epicentral region during the mainshock rupture process, probably due to a higher concentration of stress. We calculated the average regional S-wave attenuation (widetilde{kappa }(r)) before and during the mainshock using a nonparametric approach, and we also found higher attenuation before the occurrence of the main event, suggesting a possible role of fluid flow in the rupture process of the main rupture. Before and during the mainshock (widetilde{kappa }(r)) increased with increasing hypocenter distance, but at short distances (r < 17 km) (widetilde{kappa }(r)) increased faster before the main shock. However, during the main rupture (widetilde{kappa }(r)) increased faster than during the foreshock sequence for r > 17 km, suggesting that the tectonic stress probably decreased beyond that distance. 17 days before the mainshock the near-source attenuation (({kappa }_{s})) was very low in the ruptured area, ({kappa }_{s}=0.0374) s, increasing during the next 30 h to ({kappa }_{s}=) 0.0490 s, then ({kappa }_{s}) started to decrease to the value of ({kappa }_{s}=0.0024) s during the occurrence of the main event. We interpret this decrease in ({kappa }_{s}) as due to increasing Q resulting from an important increase of tectonic stress before the occurrence of the Mw7.2 earthquake. We conclude that κ, in combination with other geophysical parameters, it is useful to understand the preparatory phases of the earthquake rupture process.

本文利用距离2010年El Mayor-Cucapah地震(Mw7.2)震中位置最近的强震台站记录的前震加速度图来估计s波近源衰减,并研究谱衰减参数kappa (κ)的时空演变。我们发现,与使用主震记录估计的κ值相比,从前震估计的κ值明显更高。由于κ与质量因子Q成反比,这可能取决于应力状态和流体的存在,这一观察表明,在主震破裂过程中,震中区域的Q较高,可能是由于较高的应力集中。我们使用非参数方法计算了主震前和主震期间的平均区域s波衰减(widetilde{kappa }(r)),我们还发现主震发生前的衰减更高,这表明流体流动可能在主震破裂过程中起作用。主震前和主震期间(widetilde{kappa }(r))随着震源距离的增加而增加,但在近距离(r &lt; 17 km)处(widetilde{kappa }(r))在主震前增加得更快。然而,在主破裂期间(widetilde{kappa }(r))比前震序列期间增加得更快,这表明构造应力可能在该距离之后减小。主震发生前17天,破裂区近源衰减(({kappa }_{s}))非常低,为({kappa }_{s}=0.0374) s,在接下来的30 h内增加到({kappa }_{s}=) 0.0490 s,然后在主震发生时({kappa }_{s})开始减小到({kappa }_{s}=0.0024) s。我们将({kappa }_{s})的下降解释为在Mw7.2地震发生前构造应力的重要增加导致了Q的增加。我们得出结论,κ与其他地球物理参数相结合,有助于理解地震破裂过程的准备阶段。
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引用次数: 0
Historical Earthquakes, palaeo- macroseismology and seismotectonics 历史地震、古宏观地震学和地震构造学
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10348-2
Eleftheria Papadimitriou, Vasiliki Kouskouna, Maria-Jose Jimenez, George Kaviris, Athanassios Ganas
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引用次数: 0
Statistical inferences of differences and correlations in the seismic frequencies of large-scale fault zones in Western Sichuan, China 川西大型断裂带地震频率差异与相关性的统计推断
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10346-4
Yuan Xue, Dan Hu, Junreng Ge, Xinyu Yao, Mingyue Dai, Bingyan Fan, Yu Ming, Muchen Lin

The three fault zones of Longmenshan, Xianshuihe, and Anninghe‒Zemuhe & Daliangshan, which constitute the large-scale fault system in western Sichuan, China, were selected as the research objects for statistical analyses and mining of the underlying regularities in seismic event records. In this study, earthquake catalogues from 1970–2023 were collected, the Gutenberg-Richter (G‒R) relation was fitted, the seismicity was analysed, and the magnitude of completeness (Mc) was obtained. According to Mc, the earthquake catalogue of each fault zone was divided into three groups of data according to magnitude: M ≥ 3.0 (complete magnitude group), M = 3.0 ~ 4.4 (low-magnitude group), and M ≥ 4.5 (high-magnitude group), and time series of seismic frequencies were established. Multiple nonparametric testing methods were subsequently used to statistically infer and analyse the differences in the time series of seismic frequencies among different fault zones. There were significant differences among all the series, with the exception of the high-magnitude group of the Longmenshan fault zone and the low- and high-magnitude groups of the Xianshuihe fault zone. Furthermore, the Pearson correlation coefficient and cross-correlation functions (CCF) among the series of each fault zone are calculated. There were different degrees of synchronous or lagged (delayed) effects among the complete magnitude groups, low-magnitude groups, and high-magnitude groups of different fault zones. On the basis of these differences and correlations, multiple linear stepwise regression equations were applied to establish correlation models that quantitatively characterize the correlations among the seismic frequencies of the three fault zones, and practical explanations were given to reveal the seismic correlation relationships and regularities. This study provides not only references for earthquake prevention and disaster reduction in the research area but also research ideas and approaches for similar analyses of the seismic differences and correlations among adjacent fault zones in large-scale fault systems.

选取构成川西地区大型断裂系统的龙门山、鲜水河、安宁河-则木河和大凉山3个断裂带作为研究对象,对地震事件记录进行了统计分析和规律挖掘。本文收集了1970-2023年的地震目录,拟合了古腾堡-里希特(G-R)关系,分析了地震活动性,得到了完整震级(Mc)。根据Mc,将各断裂带地震目录按震级划分为M≥3.0级(完全震级组)、M = 3.0 ~ 4.4级(低震级组)、M≥4.5级(高震级组)三组数据,建立地震频率时间序列。随后采用多种非参数检验方法统计推断和分析不同断裂带间地震频率时间序列的差异。除龙门山断裂带的高震级组和鲜水河断裂带的低震级组和高震级组外,各震级组之间存在显著差异。计算了各断裂带序列间的Pearson相关系数和互相关函数(cross-correlation function, CCF)。不同断裂带的完整震级组、低震级组和高震级组之间存在不同程度的同步或滞后(延迟)效应。基于这些差异和相关性,应用多元线性逐步回归方程建立了定量表征三个断裂带地震频率相关性的相关模型,并给出了实际解释,揭示了地震的相关关系和规律。本研究不仅为研究区防震减灾提供了参考,也为大规模断裂系统中相邻断裂带间地震差异和相关性的类似分析提供了研究思路和方法。
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引用次数: 0
Seismotectonic analysis of the January 7, 2025, Mw 7.1 earthquake in Southern Tibet 2025年1月7日西藏南部7.1级地震的地震构造分析
IF 2 4区 地球科学 Q3 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-11-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10950-025-10344-6
Zosangliana Ralte, Santanu Baruah, Kimlina Gogoi, Lalruatpuia Tlau, Saitluanga Sailo, Manoj Kumar Phukan, Sebastiano D’Amico, Sujit Dasgupta, Sowrav Saikia, Sanjeev Kr Bhattacharyya

On January 7, 2025, a Mw 7.1 earthquake struck Southern Tibet, causing significant damage and loss of life. The earthquake and its aftershocks were widely felt across South Asia. This study investigates the seismotectonic characteristics of the event by analyzing its focal mechanism solution, stress tensor inversion, and Coulomb stress changes. The focal mechanism solution was determined using the ISOLA software with full waveform inversion data from the broadband seismometer in Mizoram, Tripura, India, and Tibet, China. Results indicate a normal faulting mechanism with a NNW-SSE strike. An iterative stress tensor inversion using 52 focal mechanism solutions (Mw > 5) from 1976 to 2025, including the Mw 7.1 mainshock, suggests an E-W extensional and nearly N-S compressional stress regime, confirming the regional tectonic influences. Coulomb stress change analysis indicated a stress perturbation ranging from -5 bars (-0.5 MPa) to + 5 bars (+ 0.5 MPa). These stress changes align with the aftershock distributions, suggesting a strong influence of stress transfer. This study contributes to a broader understanding of earthquake interactions in the region and seismic hazard assessment.

2025年1月7日,藏南地区发生里氏7.1级地震,造成重大财产损失和人员伤亡。这次地震及其余震在整个南亚都有广泛的震感。通过震源机制解、应力张量反演、库仑应力变化等方面的分析,探讨了该地震的地震构造特征。利用ISOLA软件,利用印度米佐拉姆邦、特里普拉邦和中国西藏宽带地震仪的全波形反演数据,确定了震源机制解。结果表明,北西—南西走向为正常断裂机制。1976 - 2025年52个震源机制解(Mw > 5)(包括Mw 7.1主震)的应力张量迭代反演表明,该地区存在东西向伸展和近北南向挤压的应力状态,证实了区域构造的影响。库仑应力变化分析表明,应力扰动范围为-5 bar (-0.5 MPa) ~ + 5 bar (+ 0.5 MPa)。这些应力变化与余震分布一致,表明应力传递的影响很大。该研究有助于更广泛地了解该地区的地震相互作用和地震危险性评估。
{"title":"Seismotectonic analysis of the January 7, 2025, Mw 7.1 earthquake in Southern Tibet","authors":"Zosangliana Ralte,&nbsp;Santanu Baruah,&nbsp;Kimlina Gogoi,&nbsp;Lalruatpuia Tlau,&nbsp;Saitluanga Sailo,&nbsp;Manoj Kumar Phukan,&nbsp;Sebastiano D’Amico,&nbsp;Sujit Dasgupta,&nbsp;Sowrav Saikia,&nbsp;Sanjeev Kr Bhattacharyya","doi":"10.1007/s10950-025-10344-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10950-025-10344-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>On January 7, 2025, a Mw 7.1 earthquake struck Southern Tibet, causing significant damage and loss of life. The earthquake and its aftershocks were widely felt across South Asia. This study investigates the seismotectonic characteristics of the event by analyzing its focal mechanism solution, stress tensor inversion, and Coulomb stress changes. The focal mechanism solution was determined using the ISOLA software with full waveform inversion data from the broadband seismometer in Mizoram, Tripura, India, and Tibet, China. Results indicate a normal faulting mechanism with a NNW-SSE strike. An iterative stress tensor inversion using 52 focal mechanism solutions (Mw &gt; 5) from 1976 to 2025, including the Mw 7.1 mainshock, suggests an E-W extensional and nearly N-S compressional stress regime, confirming the regional tectonic influences. Coulomb stress change analysis indicated a stress perturbation ranging from -5 bars (-0.5 MPa) to + 5 bars (+ 0.5 MPa). These stress changes align with the aftershock distributions, suggesting a strong influence of stress transfer. This study contributes to a broader understanding of earthquake interactions in the region and seismic hazard assessment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":16994,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Seismology","volume":"29 6","pages":"1757 - 1770"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145861264","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Seismology
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