Is the U.S. energy independence and Security Act of 2022 associated with stock market volatility?

IF 3.8 3区 经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Utilities Policy Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI:10.1016/j.jup.2024.101813
Hiridik Rajendran , Parthajit Kayal , Moinak Maiti
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Abstract

This study investigates the influence of the U.S. Energy Independence and Security Act (EISA) of 2022 on stock market volatility. Considering potential policy impacts on market dynamics, it employs a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model for volatility analysis, supported by rigorous hypothesis testing to validate empirical findings. For investor sentiment analysis, a pre-trained model (BERT-base-multilingual-uncased) is used to assess sentiment, with logistic regression and Bidirectional LSTM utilized for sentiment prediction. Contrary to conventional findings, logistic regression outperforms Bidirectional LSTM for the small dataset. Overall, the study estimates show no statistically noteworthy difference in volatility before and after implementing the EISA of 2022. This study provides valuable insights for navigating financial decisions within the intricate landscape of energy markets.

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2022 年美国能源独立与安全法案》是否与股市波动有关?
本研究探讨了 2022 年《美国能源独立与安全法案》(EISA)对股市波动性的影响。考虑到政策对市场动态的潜在影响,本研究采用均值回复跳跃扩散模型进行波动性分析,并辅以严格的假设检验来验证实证结果。在投资者情绪分析方面,采用了预先训练的模型(基于 BERT 的多语种无基模型)来评估情绪,并利用逻辑回归和双向 LSTM 进行情绪预测。与传统研究结果相反,在小型数据集上,逻辑回归的效果优于双向 LSTM。总体而言,研究估计结果表明,在实施 2022 年 EISA 之前和之后,波动性在统计上没有显著差异。这项研究为在错综复杂的能源市场环境中做出财务决策提供了宝贵的见解。
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来源期刊
Utilities Policy
Utilities Policy ENERGY & FUELS-ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
10.00%
发文量
94
审稿时长
66 days
期刊介绍: Utilities Policy is deliberately international, interdisciplinary, and intersectoral. Articles address utility trends and issues in both developed and developing economies. Authors and reviewers come from various disciplines, including economics, political science, sociology, law, finance, accounting, management, and engineering. Areas of focus include the utility and network industries providing essential electricity, natural gas, water and wastewater, solid waste, communications, broadband, postal, and public transportation services. Utilities Policy invites submissions that apply various quantitative and qualitative methods. Contributions are welcome from both established and emerging scholars as well as accomplished practitioners. Interdisciplinary, comparative, and applied works are encouraged. Submissions to the journal should have a clear focus on governance, performance, and/or analysis of public utilities with an aim toward informing the policymaking process and providing recommendations as appropriate. Relevant topics and issues include but are not limited to industry structures and ownership, market design and dynamics, economic development, resource planning, system modeling, accounting and finance, infrastructure investment, supply and demand efficiency, strategic management and productivity, network operations and integration, supply chains, adaptation and flexibility, service-quality standards, benchmarking and metrics, benefit-cost analysis, behavior and incentives, pricing and demand response, economic and environmental regulation, regulatory performance and impact, restructuring and deregulation, and policy institutions.
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