{"title":"The economic value of Bitcoin: A volatility timing perspective with portfolio rebalancing","authors":"Jui-Cheng Hung , Hung-Chun Liu , J. Jimmy Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.najef.2024.102260","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the economic value of adding Bitcoin, instead of Gold, to a traditional portfolio from the perspective of a volatility timing framework. Using futures data, we find that Bitcoin adds more value than Gold does to the portfolio during periods of dovish monetary policy. However, during periods of rapid rate hikes, Bitcoin destroys value while Gold offers safe haven and diversification benefits. Rebalancing strategies matter when considering adding alternative assets to a stock–bond portfolio in the presence of transaction costs. This study is timely given the macroeconomic environment of rate hikes and the downturn of cryptocurrencies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":47831,"journal":{"name":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","volume":"74 ","pages":"Article 102260"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"North American Journal of Economics and Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940824001852","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
We investigate the economic value of adding Bitcoin, instead of Gold, to a traditional portfolio from the perspective of a volatility timing framework. Using futures data, we find that Bitcoin adds more value than Gold does to the portfolio during periods of dovish monetary policy. However, during periods of rapid rate hikes, Bitcoin destroys value while Gold offers safe haven and diversification benefits. Rebalancing strategies matter when considering adding alternative assets to a stock–bond portfolio in the presence of transaction costs. This study is timely given the macroeconomic environment of rate hikes and the downturn of cryptocurrencies.
期刊介绍：
The focus of the North-American Journal of Economics and Finance is on the economics of integration of goods, services, financial markets, at both regional and global levels with the role of economic policy in that process playing an important role. Both theoretical and empirical papers are welcome. Empirical and policy-related papers that rely on data and the experiences of countries outside North America are also welcome. Papers should offer concrete lessons about the ongoing process of globalization, or policy implications about how governments, domestic or international institutions, can improve the coordination of their activities. Empirical analysis should be capable of replication. Authors of accepted papers will be encouraged to supply data and computer programs.
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