Sanctions and Russian online prices

IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI:10.1016/j.jebo.2024.07.013
Jonathan Benchimol , Luigi Palumbo
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Abstract

This study leverages daily web-scraped data to evaluate the impact of economic sanctions following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on consumer prices and product availability across different goods categories. We find that international sanctions significantly disrupted Russian price dynamics, with the exchange rate serving as the primary transmission mechanism. Utilizing granular online data allows us to circumvent potential misreporting and track real-time economic indicators at high frequency. Our analysis uncovers heterogeneous effects across product groups, with sanctions associated with an average increase of 11.7 percentage points in the Russian CPI. The results highlight how trade policies and geopolitical events can rapidly propagate through retail markets, underscoring the importance of timely price monitoring during periods of economic turbulence. More broadly, we demonstrate the value of online data for evaluating policy shocks, paving the way for similar applications in other contexts.

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制裁与俄罗斯在线价格
本研究利用每日网络抓取数据,评估俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后经济制裁对不同商品类别的消费价格和产品供应的影响。我们发现,国际制裁极大地扰乱了俄罗斯的价格动态,而汇率是主要的传导机制。利用精细的在线数据,我们可以规避潜在的误报,并高频追踪实时经济指标。我们的分析发现了不同产品组之间的异质性影响,制裁导致俄罗斯消费物价指数平均上升 11.7 个百分点。分析结果凸显了贸易政策和地缘政治事件如何通过零售市场迅速传播,强调了在经济动荡时期及时进行价格监测的重要性。更广泛地说,我们证明了在线数据在评估政策冲击方面的价值,为在其他情况下的类似应用铺平了道路。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
9.10%
发文量
392
期刊介绍: The Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization is devoted to theoretical and empirical research concerning economic decision, organization and behavior and to economic change in all its aspects. Its specific purposes are to foster an improved understanding of how human cognitive, computational and informational characteristics influence the working of economic organizations and market economies and how an economy structural features lead to various types of micro and macro behavior, to changing patterns of development and to institutional evolution. Research with these purposes that explore the interrelations of economics with other disciplines such as biology, psychology, law, anthropology, sociology and mathematics is particularly welcome.
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